Torchageddon

When I watched that on a different browser (1 minute after upload) there was just a sound icon in the center with audio. I dismissed it as a hack vid, but here its the real deal! Once again the significant events are the under-hyped or in this case virtually no hype days. It a rule of thumb. I haven't seen tornado motion like that in July aside from Canadian tornadoes. We can expect more of this strange timing of events because the tornado season wasn't present.

Thanks. The end of May that year was insane per data.

I looked into this and it appears May and June (and so far this July) have been a nightmare for good weather lovers in Iceland. 2015 was one of the worst in Reykjavik, 2016 one of the hottest summers. What's really happening is they are getting stupid amounts of rain, wind, and cloudiness nonstop with below average temperatures since the start of May. I was amazed when looking at their 7-day and current obs, no sun just rain everyday and sitting around 10ºC . I'll say this, if I was living there I would move heaven and earth to get the hell out of there for this pattern and be in the exact opposite climate: southern AZ (of course!). Its absolutely beautiful there (Iceland) and near the top of my countries to visit "list" however I can't imagine how crazy I'd become with a pattern that atrocious! They are going through their 2014 . On the flip side here in ON this pattern has been fantastic: ultra dry, sunny, hardly any clouds or rain (nearly none!) and best of all warm . The 7 days coming up look superb, no clouds or rain really. Both today and tomorrow are 32ºC. Here is a NYTimes article in plaintext (good for low bandwidth) about the crappy weather in Iceland.

I didn't get a thunderstorm yesterday, the streak remains intact . I got the fringes of a weak one and some rainshowers. The dozen rumbles of thunder were better than the 2 I had in February.

My streak of no storms for 2018 might be coming to an end soon, however the blob to my north is virtually not moving at all so for now just rumbles (fairly decent ones) of thunder. The convection to my west is not doing so well and is pulsing downwards. Great clouds today and the heat feels extra good but torrid. I had a pop-up rainshower over me out of nowhere and that smell...incredible! Still extremely hot during it and sunny too. Full sun now, convection to my west dying off as it heads over me, and the main stuff to my north is sliding a bit to the east so maybe I'll miss this too .

I still haven't had a single thunderstorm YTD IMBY for 2018. Statistically this is a near impossible streak even for my storm-barren region. I normally would have 8 storms by now. Was a switch flipped off somewhere? Did you stumble on anything from 1911 or looked into that summer? I continue to see 1911 pop up and I'm curious about its geographical reach regarding heatwaves.

These maps are what I dream of when I have heatwaves on my mind . Those runs I saved. I wouldn't mind frolicking in CO and AZ when that 600 dm pops nearby. Last nights GFS 00z run (Hr 234) had a 603 dm line over CO, I haven't seen that before!

Did you find the date from summer 2003 on your computer?

I've been checking this daily, I'm not sure if I buy into it being anything to consider when it comes to Plains activity. The red contours the other Friday were super impressive looking on the mouseover square for then but nothing happened in that spot. That was 1-5 days before. Its experimental (the dashboard) and I'm trying to find a pattern.

^^ Great story, I love those types of accounts. If you remember the temperature being 85F the next day, couldn't you go look at the nearest station database and find all the days where it reached that and then check either the SPC or radar archive for the storm your looking for? I wish I had more storm events where I was in a car looking at lightning and cloud building like that but I was extremely fortunate to happen to be in a car during the early part of the May 12, 2000 event. Aside from it being the best storm, another reason I loved that was it was a Friday evening...can't ask for much more. Looking further into it from that radar data map (I can extract so much information now from that) the monster cell that brought me the worst of that historic thunderstorm was formed way way back in get this...Nashua Iowa!! I was blown away! The very first dbz returns started just north of Nashua at 8:45 am EDT and just exploded racing up towards La Crosse Wisconsin and then heading east and reaching my backyard at 7:50 pm EDT. It wasn't just how long it lasted or how far it traveled, but the intensity it maintained during the vast majority of its time. It maxes out the reflectivity in certain time snapshots I checked. When it was in the eastern part of WI it was flooring it. Had a bow at some point(s) so acted like a derecho. You can really see it start at 2:25 pm over western MI. I'm not sure I would call it a sup because it doesn't look like one but damn that is one of the most badass storm cells ever. The identifiable part of it lasted 1000 km total and morphed just west of Toronto. Never seen a MCS hold together like that and slam into me so it makes sense that I have nothing to compare that with (radar wise) since it was the top storm. The final remnant of the congealed MCS fizzled out off the Nantucket MA coast at 9:30 am the next day. At some point I can create radar loops and forward speed analysis on the 650 mile cell and the overall complex. I should post some images with some highlights of what insane stuff was ongoing that day. I finally have nearly the full radar story now.

I'm getting the opposite of hopefulness from looking at ERTAF: "A continued northward shift in the NPJ leads us to believe the peak of annual US tornado frequency in the Great Plains (weeks 2 and 3) will be gravely below average."

The 2nd worst thunderstorm I've experienced was during the summer of 2003. It was just as the sun had set and had prolific lightning and high winds. I would like to figure out the date of that one so anyone from southern Ontario/eastern MI who remembers some good ones from that June-August give your take. I don't know how to search for t-storm events by region or where to start. These archived radar images seem to come from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet.

The spot where I was is just to the right of the radar gap of the two radar circle ranges. I can get a lot of information about the type of storm system this was from the DTX/BUF radars - it was a eastward sliding line of storms that slowly sunk south (there was a day in July 2015 that was similar?). It was the perfect intersection of getting the most amount of rain and storms so that's how you get 5 hours without a break! Ordering radar shots? What is that? I thought you could only order EC climate data that is certified. I don't remember seeing that page, but it looks familiar. Thanks. I know its purely US radar data, I've never seen any CAN radar from the event. Didn't even see or recall the radar on TV but did see the local weatherman state, "Batten down the hatches". I saw the EC severe thunderstorm warning scroll during 7:00 pm programming before the TV cut out. May 12 was a broad event spanning from Texas to Ontario, with tornadoes sprinkled all over per SPC reports. It sounds the same as the May 9 outbreak that your describing. May 12 22z there is a monster cell heading east over lake Huron and what looks to be a nice supercell near the thumb of MI.

Where did you find that? I've only come across national US radar frames where some of it showed up from the Detroit/Buffalo radars. This is much higher res than those. At 10:05 pm the storm was winding down (location is cut off reflectivity wise from that scan). Anything from 22:30-23:00 UTC? I wish EC's radar archive went back to before 2000.

If you were in K-W at the time it wasn't as bad I think south. One of the few references to it online when I checked years ago was from a Niagara ON weather site where the storm eventually reached. It was a gradual build up with lots of lightning and the heavy rain probably started shortly after and didn't end. It wasn't until 7:15 pm roughly that it became dangerously severe. We put our shoes on to prepare to go down into the basement as the winds were becoming ridiculously strong and the ferocity was something I've never seen before or since. That lasted a few minutes and then a general powerful storm continued. There were tons of tree branches everywhere, some large. I'm sure backbuilding occurred with lots of lightning past that.

18 years ago right now I was experiencing the worst storm I've ever lived through. Fields became lakes, cars were being swept away in parking lots, 123 km/h wind gust reported in Mount Forest, every type of lightning except ball, 5 hours from 5:30 pm to 10:30 pm the storm continued. Extremely damaging straight line winds all over my region with spin-ups sprinkled in. Had to have used some amazing parameter potential locally with a multi-cluster configuration. Epic is an understatement. I'd love to have high-resolution radar and velocity data of it, and lightning maps. Nothing like that occurs anymore of course.

You missed the most wretched year (May tornadoes) of all: 2017. Last year was truly appalling from an interest standpoint. All those High Risks and nothing memorable - this is my opinion alone but when I think 2017 for tornadoes the only tornado that comes to mind is the Canton TX one. With the 80s being what they were, what large scale configuration led to it? I think the quality severe was probably up north in the GLs because all sorts of stories originate from the mid-late 80s in ON.

I really don't want to hear any hints of death ridge when it comes to the Plains in late May (Only over the GL ). I really need to take the advice of cutting back how much I look at long range data, certainly not good to drive myself crazy. I'm going to look back to see what the mood was like at this time for May 2013 and 2016.

To clarify, what time frame(s) for the deterministic NWP? Just the next 10 days or is that further long range? Mostly interested in the last 10 days of this month.

Did the 00z euro just trash that goodness it showed 2 runs ago?

Amen. I love the perpetual trough especially coming from the Euro when this lame-ass April continues its historic misery. That is scary though. This is the most snowcover I've ever seen this far into April.

This is getting absurd. I thought 2016 and 2017 were a bit too boring but then 2018 came along and said "Hold my beer." What in the actual hell is this? My interest in weather is "gone" now because of it. What is a tornado outbreak? I forget what that is. Aside from one interesting non-severe thunderstorm in September of last year, nothing since then has really been neat/noteworthy. This last winter had nothing of value whatsoever so I rather it was 2011-2012 instead because then at least there was less of it. I wish I was in a warm climate to miss it entirely because not a single lake effect band did anything except something moderate on Christmas Day. No winter storms. I absolutely hated this March we just had and ranks up there for most miserable. Now we're 1/3rd into April and so far this is the single worst April weather I've ever lived through. I'm stunned at the magnitude of atrociousness. It is a VERY bad sign when its being compared to 2014...I would sooner move to Arizona than experience anything like that again. My loathing of 2014 is unbridled and without limits. I should've moved to southern Arizona in late 2013. I haven't followed weather closely due to the exceptional spell of mundane except maybe this small thing: the first 20ºC day. There is that contest with the UW weather station for when it first reaches that and seeing how long we go without getting over could be fun to follow. In at least 20 years its never gotten past April 19th but that sure will happen with this pattern. My concern is this Thursday where it will be the closest yet to 20ºC. Here's hoping that doesn't get wrecked too by Thursday's warmth spike. I thought in 2014 it would be May the way things were but there is always a sneaky spike to screw the "streak".

I think I came across something on eclipsewise.com that does that. I don't know what kind because I quickly went through some sites yesterday.

Oh boy. Another thing is I noticed a lot of folks on ABC's coverage at least not always using their solar glasses to look at the partial eclipse...even the reporters and anchors (one woman was pulled off camera!). I've been reading that even those with the solar viewers in hand and on head got caught with their pants down for a few seconds. They would either not realize it or the desire over-rode their sense. I saw the shadow sweep across the country on GOES-16 satellite using satsquatch.com/map/ and it was pretty neat. Even southern Ontario got dark.

I was at 71.2% and I noticed a change like a cooler breeze and it got dimmer. Its getting to normal brightness now. My solar eclipse glasses worked perfect and saw my first partial. That was pretty cool and makes me want totality even more now! Chile 2019! I saw what Carbondale had...dang! Surprises in a few spots like Charleston SC. Now we see if there is a mass gridlock anywhere.