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Everything posted by Torchageddon
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2018 was the year when my first t-storm or thunder was in late Aug, nada before that! After all these years I still can't believe it. Total opposite this year, I'm at 20 and its not even a 3rd of Aug done with. Storms have been weak this summer. Got to 30C/86F first time in a min I saw good sunlight again. A long lived heat event is starting!
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I had my 20th storm of 2025 this aft but it sort of went to my east, just got sprinkles and long, soft rolling thunder for 30 mins. 140 strikes. It was the very rare due south dir cells. Crickets started yesterday. Mostly cloudy today and with all the smoke its becoming less sunny now, oof!! That 10 day last week showing mostly sunny for the next period here really busted not just for smoke blot but typical cloudiness.
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Overperformed to 27C/80F with low dews and fresh air on Fri. For a few days now WUN has 30C/86F continuously maybe starting Mon if we exceed by 2, all the way til the last slot on Mon the 11th! What a magnificent stretch it'd be.
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Summer 2025 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Torchageddon replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I deem that I'm on the ring of fire as my rain is coming from storms; the few times I got steady it was less than 4mm and lasted a few hours this summer. The ground got wet Sat and now no rain forecast for 12 days, I extolled my 10-day in the other thread showing mainly sunny every single day, 2 days later its still showing this with the Euro to support. -
Its been a bit of a cloudy weekend but it cleared early this aft, humidity in control. A very rare 10-day from WUN showing mostly sunny the whole way through!! Blessed. I checked a 10-day I saved from Jul 16 and found that it correctly predicted the storm I had Thurs 8 days out. Even the exact amount of rain (9mm)!! I was a bit higher for temps at 33C with DP at 27C. Low was .7C off from recorded.
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Got a solid squall line quickly move through, 19th storm of 2025. 9mm in 35 mins, 230 strikes all CC. Finally saw a shelf cloud and fantastic hues of blue. What might be the most impressive part was how dark it got at 5:30, 100 lux!! 34C/93F for a high, windy again. I didn't find it all that humid but there was a humidex of 43. I enjoyed it and made an effort to be outside to take it all in.
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The impossible happened: on what was suppose to be a mostly clear sunny hot day, I woke up at 7 to see dark overcast!! For 9th in a row that comes to 0.00052% - this is incomprehensible. Now the caveat is what range in the morning to use as this morning isn't quite so long for darkness. At 815 there were bluer skies coming in a bit to the west but the sun was mostly covered and new clouds generated over me as of 850am. I've used up to this point 6am-10am but the majority of these Thurs mornings have been overcast til noon at least. I could increase my % to 35-40% to reflect less time in the dark but that muddles this. I checked my own records for mornings even before May 22, which fortuitously I keep track of. May 15th was partly cloudy, but the previous 3 Thur mornings were all dark overcast!! The last clear Thurs morning I had was all the way back on April 17!!! Only 1 out of the last 13 had partly cloudy with sun, WTF!? As you go back into mid-spring the chances of an overcast morning skyrocket but nearly 13 in a row, come on....
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While the south sweats, it was nice here with the heat event just starting. It was 30C/86F but my station was higher by a suspicious margin. Lots of clear skies this week, perfect air and breeze for days. Shaping up to be the best wx week of 2025?
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I got down to 9C/48F for a low, by far the coolest of the summer. Nice air with some moisture from Thurs' light rain. High of 27C.
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This is now the 8th overcast/rainy Thurs morning in a row (during the clearest months, during a hot/slightly drier regime). I'd love to know what the statistical odds of this are but my local historical data sucks plus I wouldn't ken how to go bout figuring it. I assumed around 20% of such a morning - when stacked for 7 in a row it was at 0.013%!! Now at 0.0026%...
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I knew there was a high aqi, saw the milk sky too but wanted to cycle. As soon as I stepped foot out there, my sniffer catching the stench of rank plastic and ash, I nope'd and turned right back inside. First this year and 3rd time in my life I surrendered to air.
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This is a torrid day, I was out at 8am walking for a few mins and I was yet hot. Among the most humid mornings of 2025. By 11 it was already 31 hum of 39. Point of 32C - I add 3C to whatever value so I may have a 35C/95F day coming up. Strong storms fore by eve. Body temperature rising
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1-2" was forecast yesterday, all the storms and rain formed to my N and NE but very close. We didn't get anything! Another huge bust I was under a 80% chance.
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I have a good one, WUN hourlies for today has 32mm/1.26" in 1 hour at 1pm! A repeat of Jun 27 where I got the most rain in a storm tallied - 38mm in under 2 hr? For the day 1-2" rain with small hail possible.
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Best Ball Lightning Footage Captured in Alberta!
Torchageddon replied to Torchageddon's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The large size of it also makes this suspect, I read one of if not the best book on the topic 'Ball Lightning: An Unsolved Problem in Atmospheric Physics' by Mark Stenhoff which has many accounts from the centuries. I don't ken any mentioning the size of a house, typically they're softball size give or take. -
Best Ball Lightning Footage Captured in Alberta!
Torchageddon replied to Torchageddon's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Yeah a comment I saw suspects its "an arcing power line. Play 0:27 onwards at 0.25 speed and watch properly. Also notice how the lens reflection floating around to the right shows a less exposed version of it as two dots, which are the two power lines." Wouldn't that be a gas, vid has 1.2 million views -
Yet another 33C/90F+ day, confirmed I got 34C/93F, with humidex of 41 and windy. The number of 32C+ days I'm having is remarkable, overperforming nearly every day by 2-3C. Low was 23C/73.5F. 7pm: Still 33C!
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Historic for the most mysterious wx curio! Lasts so long and the extreme brightness it gives off to the ground below it, wow!! I was befuddled as to why there were no good ball lightning videos in existence even with all the phones, security cams, ring doorbells, etc.
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Another 30C/86F day here, I'm racking up so many. Great strech of wx. The storms formed south of me weds which was nice. Heard the tree frog for the first time.
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My boatload of rain expected for today was a huge bust, 1 inch turned into a trace that dried up within half a hour. There were modest storms all around. Our temps keep over-performing every day too by 3C.
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Got another 30C+ day, now 31C humidex 35. The wild swings in temps continue. Thurs had a minor windchill after all this heat and then 20 hours later we're back 4pm: 33C/90F on my station, humidex of 41 or so. 24 hr ago it was 16C/61F with a chill!
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Transcended the point low by 1C - 24C/76F. Tues I was peg to be 26C high, every check it's increasing: went to 29C, now 30C. I'm soaring the last hour as I'm not far from 30C now! The last 3 night lows have been 25C (more like 26C, 80% of that overnight), 23C, and 24C. WUN nailed yesterday's details with exact high/low/full sun/RH, etc. from a forecast 4 days before on Fri. I noticed Toronto at 9:30 last night was still a insane 33C/90F Humidex 43C/110F.
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Its nice out there but hotter air temp wise, my station got briefly to 35.3C/95F, humidex of 45C also higher than Sun. RH lower. Almost no clouds at all, and getting windy. I wish I could ken how windy my other mid-30 readings have been because it seems unique.
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Yesterday I got to 33C/90F, Heat Index of 50C/122F, Humidex of 44C/111F. Air temp was standard for a heat wave but the humidity is extreme. I don't ken last year getting these values maybe not even for several years. Overnight low under-performed at 23C, clear blue skies already 29C humidex of 37 . Point today also 33C.
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This is historic, my low was 25C/77F! I didn't think we would pull that off (I gave it 10% of verifying), extremely rare but the historic part is it was rising in the overnight period to 26C/79F before going back to 25. I'm getting different humidex readings but my station seems the most realistic at 30C at 6:30 am. Other stations around me confirmed 26C, among the warmest in Bruce-Grey. Northern Owen Sound around the bay had 27C/81F. Perfect conditions to achieve this - overcast overnight, breezy to mix things, and very humid. Captivatingly WUN is showing another low of 25C tomorrow - never seen back to back.