Torchageddon

The often wrong TWN hourlies and day chunks had my first flakes this evening - never happened. WG (has that site been abbrev before?) didn't show any afaik and has spotty rain overnight. My lows are still way abv avg over 6C during midweek. It will also be 6C for the high during the next few days - always 6 this month. Is Eastern KY getting snow before I see flakes? Had way more brightness and sun than expected Thurs, was doomed to be permaclouded.

The permacloud is getting to me too, November's "sweet treat" around here. Did get some wonderful sunny days on Tues and two Sats ago but its not enough. River is getting quite low.

Yep, but to be fair snowsqualls in early Nov is rare or has been during the past 25-40 years in my region. The king was a major dump on Nov 2 1999 around here we were shy of 1.5/2 feet with drifts, Mid-Nov 2000 was insanity and the snowiest on record, a major lake effect snowstorm starting Nov 16 2024 that also gave the southtowns of Buffalo NY their historic 2 meter LES.

I was out there tonight, it feels so warm and even humid. It was 15C for a while but I knew it was even warmer when I went out again - it had risen another 1C to 16 now its 10:30 its 17C! Overnight low could be 17 which would be incredible for Nov 5 (Avg is 1C). DP of 16C by 1am! I forget what the lows were for the 2020/2021 events - I feel this may surpass those for that category. Our lows during these cool season heat events are getting amazing.

In the last week its becoming very cloudy to that majority overcast shit I loathe, I'm starting to feel it now. Its also a dark gloomy type but Sat had a brighter overcast. With DST I really felt it today, the other shoe has dropped. Sunny and November isn't a pairing in my region.

Likely the most humid Halloween I've ever lived through, our high was 22C with humidex of 26 at one point! I hated how dark and dreary it was though, guess it fits. Rain held off til 6pm, got less than 1mm so far.

Still 17C here at 1:30am, It did dip to 16.5 earlier but it rebounds some, hourlies show it could increase til 3am. Some stations nearby even have 19C! Avg low is 2C. Wild!

I'm also going to enjoy some of the historic warmth, already 18C (high of 20C soon), tomorrow high of 23C! Probably near the record but my dataset sucks socks. Most unbelievable; the low overnight of 17C/64F!!!

From earlier run, fantasy land, etc. Among the most insane model depictions I've come across having a 576dm height bubble over southern Greenland at the end of the first week of Nov!!?!

I've noticed there is this weird bug like a small black fruit fly that will land on your wrists/hands and bite, leaving a small welt. Never seen them before. The bugs are bad with the fantastic heat we've had.

Been blessed not to have as much cloudiness as forecast, yesterday afternoon was fine with sun out and then this morning I got hours of sunny breaks with modest clouding up after noon. No rain ever came! The Thanksgiving prize was instead of -1C it only made it down to 3C. For any Canadians left here, happy Thankgiving!

The storm on Sun morning did fizzle, I got gapped! I heard sig thunder and before the split line 150 strikes detected. My station didn't even measure any rain lol. Sun came out early that afternoon too. Some downpours the first in months started last night though. This was a dynamic fall day with heavy showers then full sun minutes later.

Went out for a ride in the morning air before the line of storms hits, I could see darkness, hear thunder off in the distance, tepid breeze, hear the birds chirping like it was Spring, observing the colours, with the sun still shining - memorable! Line seems okay so far on radar and I tend to believe with the number of strikes my station is sensing this may not be a flop, TWN wrote kind of setup we’ll see on Sunday has been known to overperform in the past. Sadly they gave no details nor get into the nitty gritty

Most of the week was pleasant, nice sunny fall vibes with very gradual decrease in temps. Happy with us getting very little rain since Aug, some day recently it was less than 3mm; dried up fast. I can't remember the last time I heard rain on the roof, its been so light and brief. Sun I'm suppose to get a t-storm (me thinks Nov/Dec will be turbulent) on Sunday with 8mm of precip - hope it all misses me or fizzles. It did today; just some clouds mid-day.

Perfect day here for Sep rounding off the best I've experienced. I noticed TWN put me under overcast even rain yesterday and I rightly ignored that shat. Instead it was mostly sunny at times filtered and gorgeous humid breeze til 4:30pm! Clouds were def intriguing morning then late aft when they fomented. We overperformed high temp by getting to 26C feeling like 31!

This has been one of the best stretches of Sep wx in my life, perhaps even better than anything of Sep 2009,2014,2017 here. Sep 2022 was also good at the start being so sunny. We have not had as long a stretch of clear skies with minimal clouds in all of 2024 so having such in mid-Sep is neat. Started around Tues last week that's 10 days of stellar, pleasant bliss. Blessed and thrilled but now stupid overcast has started mid-day and I'm cowed how the extended is evolving.

Cells just starting to form near Kingsbridge ON which will be heading towards me by dinner. That line north is okay but becoming better defined. Delayed a bit from my hourlies, rainfall amounts reduced. Hearing some thunder since 4:30.

I'm in the tiny SLIGHT today here in SON, Wunderground indicates chance of hail in some of those storms. Warming up fast to 29C later. SPC wrote:

Got a non-storm that just brought heavy rains, was put under svr warning for no reason as usual. Not even a clap of thud. Attempt #11 fail.

The weekend and Monday were cold and windy, mid-afternoon it was 15C and overcast. I'm sure I don't have to state how I feel about that one. Today was better high of 20C with lots of fluffy clouds. Today was the 15th anniversary of the historic Ontario tornado outbreak that had the highest number of tornadoes recorded in one day. One was close to me, the Durham F2 that claimed the life of 1. Most from SON recall the Vaughan tornado which is among the most filmed ON tornado of all time.

I put this into ChatGPT 4: "how many tornadoes occurred in Illinois during the month of July 2024?" Pathetic. These AI Chat LLMs suck for weather queries. The point is for me not to have to dig for these stats if its connected to the web!

I had a tornado warning issued at 11am this morning by EC from a suspicious cell with a bean shape over Clifford. This is the earliest tornado warning I've recalled for mby. Tornado warnings before noon in Ontario are very rare in general. At one point there were 3 tor warnings at once in SON. Mine was dropped within 8 mins and replaced with a svr t-storm warning that gave me some light showers which have been on and off every 30-60 mins today. I didn't even hear thunder! The cell in question fell apart rapidly. Some peaks of sun at times with more cells from the south ongoing.

We had the perfect summer weekend here with a very rare instance of blue skies with almost no clouds at all Sat/Sun!! On Sat there wasn't any clouds for over 100km around me on Satellite - can't say that happens much around here. Sat evening was among the best of all of 2024 with low wind, quiet, just the right amount of green. More smoke the last few weeks and increasing. About a week ago I finally got a t-storm but it was a dry one. I had 3mm during the early evening with some cracks but then at 10pm Tues there was a spicy cell that side-swiped me with good lightning and thunder. No precip at all from it.

Attempts #8,9 both failed for any storms since Monday mid-day - I correctly knew it would just be steady rain in place of garden boomer early this morning. Nice evening last night and a repeat of yesterday for the first half of today. 5mm of rain. This very active storm pattern giving me not even a clap of thunder for weeks is an exceptional blowout. The Weather Network site has finally finished off any creative touch they once had and forced the switch to their mobile layout on PC unifying it this afternoon . Lame how they pretended to have a new beta for desktop users just to save some more for their dying suncreen-promoting platform. Very plain, drab, terrible layout somehow the stinkiest of all time. 7 and 14 day forecast layouts are abysmal! Maybe I can ditch my bad habit of checking since the accuracy is so damn awful anyways. There are a few pros like having a better radar static image on the main condition page so I don't have to load the bloated interactive page for it. Its now come full circle back to what it was when the site first launched just plain info with minimal tinsel.

Last week my attempts at getting a storm both failed, then yesterday the MCS formed to my east in the afternoon - which I was happy about since I don't need the rain since Weds 60mm deluge. That was attempt #8 fail since early May. I had high pops too for Sunday and then evening's chances removed, followed by not a drop all night where I had 40% pops. Now I have same for later this morning for a few hours then all overnight Tues chances of "strong storm" which translates to "chance of rainshower". It was a warm overnight 21C roughly. Very comfy humid wx. Other than Weds its been a wonderful wx streak!!