Torchageddon

The squall line here in Midwestern ON was among the most lame I've ever been in. It was so pethetic that even I was in disbelief, however hours later there was a second wind which packed a bit more punch but whatever. Just to nail home just how tame it was, I heard only ONE distant thunder during the passage!! Just some breezy heavy rains. I'm glad I didn't go out to chase this near the shoreline. Mark did and he doesn't know why it fell apart as it entered the more favorable parameter space but I've seen it nearly every time so its not a shock but the extent of the collapse was. It almost looked like K-W wasn't going to see anything at all but the 2nd round gave them some. Once again the warm front brought the goods and the cold front failed. There were some large limbs though down in the locale, I didn't see any high winds that could do that? The second cluster that came up from MI that produced the real storm down south also delivered two tornadoes or so.

I just got my first thunderstorm of the year this morning, it was decent with tropical rains but not severe. I don't like the look the HRRR is giving for MBY, looks like I'm going to get whiffed this evening followed by the typical hours of moderate rain that follow. I was waiting for some descrete cells ahead of the outflow but then the CAMs backed off that...

I notice during the hot day tomorrow with it being 30C feeling like 40 (humidex) the winds will be 40 km/h gusting to 60 at once. That is unprecedented in my experience in my locale but there was one day last decade that was approching winds of that level with a slightly higher air temp. This is before the strong storms roll in. Will my stormless streak come to an end? 48 hours later it'll be 12C for a high feeling like 8...jacket weather! Its been a good June so far but a weird one, enough sunlight thankfully.

It sure isn't. Were they sleeping during the later part of May?

On pivotal weather why do I have to have my mouse cursor on the hr numbers rather than the loop bar to show each frame? I haven't been there in a bit and that change isn't good, moronic even. Now its hard to slide the mouse through the run which I prefer to just watching a loop.

The boarderline severe cells in SON split the gap between my west and east!! I saw some amazing clouds just around 8. Once again we get nothing when not far off the shoreline and Toronto are getting a pretty good show, unreal. This was the best chance for southern Grey county like Hanover/Walkerton to get a severe thunderstorm in a very long time...

Perfect weather currently, about 22C feels like 24 with some thin clouds. I can't believe I fell for TWN's forecast of stormy throughout the day lol. I don't think we'll reach 28C as a high but it will be in the comfortable zone.

I had a sneaky shower come through this morning on a day with very low POPs. I had to turn the heat on again after the heatwave. Nice day though. Just hours away from the start of the best month, here's to something awesome...maybe (no thunderstorms of course, I still haven't gotten one yet). As many Canadians remember, today is the 35th anniversary of Ontario's worst tornado outbreak. While violent tornadoes were tearing through SON back then, in modern times we're lucky to even get a legit severe thunderstorm anywhere in this province. There's even been a stark change from the 2000s.

I still don't understand the difference between Heat Index and Humidex but I agree that Humidex seems flawed.

I might be near 15C above normal. The leaf-out speed is extreme.

We're up to 27C feeling like 34 at noon. Forecast high for today was increased again to 31C and now to 32C. That is way higher than the 5 day forecast leading to now...I forget what it was but probably 27C. Humidex was going to be 33 but now its 39 this afternoon. Tomorrow same temperature and humidex. This is approaching late May 2006 levels of awesomeness.

Shortly before 4 pm I had a developing t-storm side-swipe me and some of the largest rain drops I've seen started falling. I could hear each rain drop on the roof (like hail) and looking out it was stark white as if it were hailstones. Not many but wet the pavement in no time. I rushed outside and caught a drop on my sleeve and it felt like I was splashed. 11 minutes after the last drops the sun cleaned up. The storm matured to my east so no t-storms as always but Environment Canada issued a severe t-storm warning for a garden storm that was 20-30 minutes past me to the east with nothing upcoming. I love it.

What looked to be a iffy day turned out to be a great one, Midwestern ON is blowing way past the forecast temperatures every day now and the light rain for today came at 10:30 am. I see blue skies and towers going up all around . Its 26C feeling like 34C so far, forecast was 22C and t-storm showers. We are entering into a pseudo-heatwave (next three days will feel like 36C). Tomorrow is forecast to be the first 30C air temp of the year and decade. I'm starting to get warm . The quick swing isn't surprising, but the temperature exceeding the forecast by 3C or more each day now is. We were colder than forecast for so long its finally reversed. This isn't the worst May now afterall, the last 1/3rd saved it.

Yesterday was the first true day of summer here, pretty much perfect with no clouds and hardly a breeze. Today is going to be 27C which is much higher than predicted just a few days ago and I'm not too far from the lake so impressive.

No mention that this was the 3rd year in a row to first reach 20C in May: http://www.civil.uwaterloo.ca/weather/2020contest/contest.html "And a question, should we allow people to choose dates in June next year?" I forgot it was May 13 not 14 for the previous record longest. I do remember it being 1919 however. Interesting that it was right in the middle of the afternoon as May years tend to be very early in the day like 10 am.

UW at 18.8C, it jumped 1.2C in 15 minutes! Its always had random fluctuations. Butt-clenching time .

My feeling was wrong and UW only topped out at a laughable 17.7C early on then actually was going down from 1-4 pm. Its rising since and is nearly back to today's high.

Yep, I don't have the spreadsheet on this but I think May 14 was the record latest. With that said, low key I hope something stops the rise at 19.7C so tomorrow, May 20 or 21 is when UW gets it. I had a feeling though back early this month that the 15th would be the day. Its defintely the worst May I've ever seen, but its behind still June 2015 for awfulness. Nothing will compare to 2014 for me, but 2020 is a solid 2nd for worst year. I like to joke that "is 2020 still going to be a good year?"

Wow, absolutely remarkable. I'm sitting at 15C, felt tropical! UW at 17.7C.

Looking at Waterloo Ontario's 7 day, I notice that TWN lowered Sunday and Monday's high temp by 4C and increased the rain. The high will be very close to 20C for Friday and Saturday but if it stays just under then the contest may go to the 20th and even now that high of 24C was lowered to 20 so there is a 2% chance that even in the next 7 days no 20 . 108 years of regional weather data shows the latest first 20ºC reading was May 14th so if the unthinkable happens and it somehow doesn't til after 20th that would beat the record by 6+ days . Considering our climate as of recent decades that would definitely be one of the most absurd "streaks" I've ever seen. My weather has been pretty great the last few days for sun. Still too cold to enjoy it much. One interesting thing about our first possible 20ºC reading of the year is if its Friday (15th) then it will have occurred during a rainy day.

To my amazement, at least an inch of snow remained at 11:30 am here! . Even now during peak sun angle, there is still solid snowcover on roofs and trace on grass. This is something I defintely have never personally seen before in this month, most notable 2020 event locally thus far. The snow itself was an strange small ball shape like packing material but not graupel. Probably had close to 2 inches of snow during the deepest "snowpack". Last night I felt like putting all the Christmas decorations in the yard and stringing up the lights .

Had SN with nearly full sunlight at times, a rarity. It felt like snow was falling on a summer afternoon! Clouds looked cool today. It was a fun wx day.

It wasn't that much of a nail-biter after all, the UW Waterloo weather station only reached 18.6C . May 15th here we come! https://www.theweathernetwork.com/ca/14-day-weather-trend/ontario/waterloo?from7day=1 Never would've imagined this.

I hope both UW and YYZ don't reach 20C tomorrow, just for the lulz. Its already asinine that this is the 3rd year in a row that UW didn't get their 20 til May but if it goes past the 10th then we're looking at many decades since its been that late. Today was suppose to be one of two only good days this first half May, its dark and raining . I haven't heard thunder since early March and that was the only time so far in 2020.

I first saw it in 2015, I was confused too. I like how near the start of it the wife has a bigger reaction to the fact they were under a tornado warning than the actual wedge right in front of them.