A very big difference between the GFS and Euro just about a day out from this one... also note the ICON looks more Euroish and the RGEM looks more GFS-ish. NAM is in between.
Aldie, though rural, has kinda become the high rent district out in London hasn’t it? @aldie 22 they’ve built a lot of big time homes there and in Purcellville I believe.
Can h57 of the 18z NAM deliver? Probably the best chance at making up for lost snow tomorrow/weds AM.
Also, @stormtracker or anyone else, should my file max size be 261kb? Recently, I haven't been able to attach anything...
I have actually been rooting for a cutter, looking at the evolution, that definitely helps with a 50/50 for a blocked miller A or hybrid system coming up from the south.
Consider me really interested in what happens Weds night when I'm trying to fly back into DCA. Maybe not so much for the flight in, but the drive up to my house from there.
It's like the NOGAPS/navgem reverse bias. If you see it amped, that's good because its usually progressive. If the HRRR is progressive and de-amped, shit because it's usually amped. Na mean?
Soundings on the gfs back up the snow for some of us with part 2. Nearly isothermal at the tail end, but the entire column is below freezing with temps 30-32 NW to SE.
Need to check soundings for part 2 to look into thermal profiles. NAM and GFS both just turned a lot of people to SN/SN+ with part 2 after it initially moved back in. May be rate dependent stuff but taking a look