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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Could be, but this is one of those that could verify north all the way into gametime based on Synoptics and tiny variable changes up top wrt confluence and blocking setting in. As I said earlier, it may or may not come north/NW, but if it does I’d expect it inside 36 hours
  2. DDweatherman
    I am deploying the magnets starting at tonight’s 0z runs… stay tuned
  3. DDweatherman
    We shall see what tonight and tomorrow’s runs have in store. I won’t see much of this storm but looking to stat pad toward climo. At 17.5” this season thus far
  4. DDweatherman
    You’d take it. Better than 18z euro though?
  5. DDweatherman
    Euro is under maintenance at 18z I see
  6. DDweatherman
    Tues evening you mean?
  7. DDweatherman
    Check back tomorrow night for more details haha, that’s definitely a game time decision driven also by how much snow hits Tues into weds
  8. DDweatherman
    I don’t think so, I bet it’s south end of DC ish. Richmond should get snows still, just don’t see 12+ there.
  9. DDweatherman
    Nice couple inches of snow showing on a few runs for front end of storm #2 weds night for the north crew
  10. DDweatherman
    I think maintenance has begun, bet the new ride is ready by about 10:40PM.
  11. DDweatherman
    6z ish so far
  12. DDweatherman
    RGEM looks improved over last run as well.
  13. DDweatherman
    I agree, watching RGEM a bit closer.
  14. DDweatherman
    Early thoughts, fixing to make a fool of myself. Seeing hr36 on the ICON makes me think wave 1A of this will be a bit south of 12z.
  15. DDweatherman
    Couldn't agree more in the ways to win department. I love a huge win swath with those features in place vs timing a boundary wave where tiny variables have such noticeable impacts on ground truth. Here's to getting a few with our blocking scheme moving in.
  16. DDweatherman
    It looks like I may be okay depending on model of choice getting out of DCA Tuesday @ 4pm. However, my 8pm-11pm flight in Wednesday night has a dicey look to it.
  17. DDweatherman
    It makes it pretty wintry overnight Weds into Thurs. 850's are actually below 0 all the way into VA.
  18. DDweatherman
    It really is, even at mid levels it remains nice and cold. I have to check soundings, pivotal wants to put me in some snow/sleet weds overnight.
  19. DDweatherman
    Interesting thing to note is the euro doesn't even really get it going in DC and north until post hr 60. A lot to be decided still.
  20. DDweatherman
    Or any haha
  21. DDweatherman
    @mitchnick wheres the 12z AI update?
  22. DDweatherman
    I hear you going with the reverse psychology angle
  23. DDweatherman
    Greatly disjointed areas of frontogenesis in that one. H7 shot way north over N & C PA vs southern and the h85 closer to the low was down over DC/NoVA. I don’t expect them to be that separated in a system like this, where the surface low/any associated coastal isn’t a big factor.
  24. DDweatherman
    The other storm in January that screwed c md and DC definitely went NW as well. 7” IMBY edit to add you don’t want a W-E trajectory, makes a NW trend less likely for sure.
  25. DDweatherman
    So long Bob chill and friends
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