DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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Euro is under maintenance at 18z I see
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Tues evening you mean?
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Check back tomorrow night for more details haha, that’s definitely a game time decision driven also by how much snow hits Tues into weds
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I don’t think so, I bet it’s south end of DC ish. Richmond should get snows still, just don’t see 12+ there.
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Nice couple inches of snow showing on a few runs for front end of storm #2 weds night for the north crew
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I think maintenance has begun, bet the new ride is ready by about 10:40PM.
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6z ish so far
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RGEM looks improved over last run as well.
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I agree, watching RGEM a bit closer.
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Early thoughts, fixing to make a fool of myself. Seeing hr36 on the ICON makes me think wave 1A of this will be a bit south of 12z.
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Couldn't agree more in the ways to win department. I love a huge win swath with those features in place vs timing a boundary wave where tiny variables have such noticeable impacts on ground truth. Here's to getting a few with our blocking scheme moving in.
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It looks like I may be okay depending on model of choice getting out of DCA Tuesday @ 4pm. However, my 8pm-11pm flight in Wednesday night has a dicey look to it.
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It makes it pretty wintry overnight Weds into Thurs. 850's are actually below 0 all the way into VA.
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It really is, even at mid levels it remains nice and cold. I have to check soundings, pivotal wants to put me in some snow/sleet weds overnight.
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Interesting thing to note is the euro doesn't even really get it going in DC and north until post hr 60. A lot to be decided still.
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Or any haha
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@mitchnick wheres the 12z AI update?
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I hear you going with the reverse psychology angle
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Greatly disjointed areas of frontogenesis in that one. H7 shot way north over N & C PA vs southern and the h85 closer to the low was down over DC/NoVA. I don’t expect them to be that separated in a system like this, where the surface low/any associated coastal isn’t a big factor.
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The other storm in January that screwed c md and DC definitely went NW as well. 7” IMBY edit to add you don’t want a W-E trajectory, makes a NW trend less likely for sure.
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So long Bob chill and friends
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Cue the windshield wiper GIF, if there’s a true NW trend it usually materializes in the last 36-48 hours. Look at yesterdays event
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No one has any clue what the Euro is gonna do here in a few. My bet is it’ll be a bit wetter than 6z and a touch south.
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Nope, Ralph is off on this one. UK is definitely a nod to the GFS. Moved the max to the south of 0z.
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6z UKMET at h66 looked solid, trying to post but can’t get the file small enough here on mobile lol
