DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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You’re not even old enough to go to an r rated movie by yourself and you want a storm named after you? Sheesh man kids these days
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Yeah that piece diving in has bigger dog potential even… we’ve seen runs show something along those lines.
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We’re going to need more than that difference wise downstream to have the implications we need. It’s a positive; but it’s not much yet. I like the height improvement and tpv more than the s/w energy changes early
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It’s only fitting the guy with the mlk avatar brings one in our direction on mlk day…
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The way this happens is if the s/w doesn’t eject out of the SW. if you see that, we can perhaps get shutout in the dc/balt region. If the wave comes out anything like how the euro did at 18z or the ggem, uk, etc., that just about takes a total whiff off the table and there’s way more upside than downside.
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Agreed, most of the forum would get 4-8” more after 144 it appears, looks solid to gain some lat after that frame.
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I just want to see that energy come out without issue. 18z euro and ai check that box. then we look at the confluence downstream for the next round of changes in track from hrs 96 and on. Tomorrow we’ll hopefully get confirmation the s/w will eject eastward.
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I’m mobile but don’t hate the euro this far at h5. Looks to be mainly slower as Randy and co alluded to earlier.
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The key is that we continue to see no issue ejecting this eastward out of Baja. if the thing that keeps it south is simply confluence, we see that often times retract northward in the mid range. Good to see on AI/op euro that continues
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The kicker is inevitable Mitch. We have endured 10 years of this failure my friend.
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I didn’t look. Saw poster above allude to rgem. Just looked at the 18z icon and gfs runs.
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Gfs isn’t going to do it. Hope it’s just being stubborn but with the ai going a bit south you wonder. I don’t really ever consider the icon but it was in the no go camp and I’d argue the 18z rgem was as well.
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Basically, if it comes out even in some decent way, someone in the east is more or less guaranteed a high impact winter storm
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Charlottesville has 26-32” on the app between SAT & SUN. Let the hysteria begin.
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I don’t know, because mine has 15-18” for Sunday alone… with a high of 14
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Couldn’t agree more. Great ratios, cold smoke, “lesser” complexity. And it piles up beautifully.
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This is my favorite analog, maybe slightly less QPF laden, but the overrunning and a “light” primary transfer from S OV/TN valley being the key. Anomalously cold airmass as well much akin to PD2.
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A top 3 snowstorm all time for a lot of folks…31” IMBY at the time. Love seeing that honking from Tomer
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Def not, you don’t want to bullseye on euro at this range. It tends to make slow gradual moves regardless.
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Not too bad on the euro. Don’t love slower for an evolution, but precip gets a decent bit north. SLP and RH’s are north of 6z
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Don’t worry, we didn’t even blink.
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Remind me of a time the euro has ever kept the momentum going.
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Probably 40” with the ratios you guys get out there.
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For shits and gigs show us the full run total
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I’d rather it not run at all then shit on our heads.
