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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    6z EPS snow map
  2. DDweatherman
    It does look pretty amped at h5, a couple closed contours on that 90 hour frame.
  3. DDweatherman
    Right now, I could see us grabbing a few inches. We’re in the battle zone for sure. 6z euro looks like it was coming in south again given low location and heights out front
  4. DDweatherman
    We didn’t think a model run posted live by WW was the answer to good juju did we?
  5. DDweatherman
    Overall, it's not bad considering its moving the way of the Gfs. Can't hate that upstairs progression of h5 track with more confluence pushing down (both OP and EPS). 0z will be....crucial?
  6. DDweatherman
    That is a nice run of the EPS. h5 really is tasty at 108, nice QPF through our area 120.
  7. DDweatherman
    Like the complete opposite of erswxman who was a complete mess a couple years ago.
  8. DDweatherman
    I don’t really trust me it was all just in spirit of the 2 thread 100% success rate. Let’s win at 0z and not ever need a 2nd thread
  9. DDweatherman
    @brooklynwx99 in the NE forum said the 90h 18z Euro looks more GFS like than previous runs. compressed flow making the vector of the h5 energy pretty similar since the Euro has it W-E and the GFS has WSW-ENE.
  10. DDweatherman
    Can the euro come down south some more to meet the gfs? 0z is actually arguably most important suite of the winter so far given the circumstances and this storm is only 114hrs out now
  11. DDweatherman
    Not really a lot, just some areas the concentration of precip orientation was focused more NW and less of that dry slot given the primary transferred a bit cleaner
  12. DDweatherman
    I also would like the compromise. We historically do well with a low in S WV transferring to ORF and moving ENE. colder on temps just slightly north with features. Even though it was a pretty good run, do we close this and open something new before 0z to get the Euro to meet the GFS right where 18z was?
  13. DDweatherman
    One thing I will say I didn't like about the 12z GFS admittedly is h5 was a bit north of 6z despite the trend south with the low & transfer. May not be of the biggest significance since we still have a good pass, but nevertheless something to watch.
  14. DDweatherman
    That definitely qualifies as a trend southward. Another move like that and the 2" line is touching Baltimore.
  15. DDweatherman
    It'll probably look like the 12z Euro at 18z then they'll both go south together at 0z.
  16. DDweatherman
    Damn, that's awesome. We said basically the same thing lmao
  17. DDweatherman
    Agreed, but what if it doesn't? The Euro definitely went more in the direction of the GFS from the last 2 runs. Problem is, meeting in the middle is no dice for us. It would have to mainly be GFSesque. Could always kill this thread and then the new thread will help the GFS score the coup.
  18. DDweatherman
    That's something to note though since normally (correct me if I'm wrong folks), the Euro has a tendency to hold back S/S energy more so than other models.
  19. DDweatherman
    Anywhere even remotely close to the GFS or a nice trend to it would be phenomenal.
  20. DDweatherman
    If the euro looks like the gfs, a lot of people will SHIT themselves. That was a nice run. Ggem sucks but it was like 3 million miles south of 0z
  21. DDweatherman
    Most likely this won't happen, GFS never wins on an island. But you bet your sweet bippy I'm here to will it back.
  22. DDweatherman
    It’s been a rough stretch for the GFS. That being said, it does okay with certain stream events, I’ve found it to be solid with SS where the Euro holds energy back often.
  23. DDweatherman
    If 12z blows definitely can go the route of thread #2. Or if the gfs stays on an island that’s basically the same outcome since it’s the worst model this year minus the god awful GGEM
  24. DDweatherman
    Do you guys happen to have the 6z EPS? Mobile right now but want to see where it moved for VD
  25. DDweatherman
    Ji is ready for it to snow. I say we will this one back with a second thread. 2/2 so 100% success rate historically…
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