DDweatherman
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Everything posted by DDweatherman
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2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Same, naturally. Close to the catoctins at around 900’ elevation, hopefully I’ll get some benefit from the pivot and bands -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah I’m prepared to be in the min, but thinking easterly flow should help me a bit over here. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seeing the h5 axis more negative and positioned a bit south on the 12z nam’s helped a lot for the capture and bombing. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looked at the Nam again a minute ago upstairs, the h5 improvements while noticeable and impressive were NOT huge and resulted in a MUCH MUCH better outcome on 12z -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gonna be fun overnight Sunday into Monday if we can get those 30+ mph gusts and some good falling snow. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
The turd models are all off to a good start. Need the varsity models to give them support. Seeing the gfs look more like yesterday mornings run would help a lot. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nam has a really fun time for most of us with low visibility wind blown mod to heavy snow Sunday evening into much of Monday. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Rooting for this even at a .75 multiplier of reality haha -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Agreed, it actually makes sense this time with that strong of a flow creating some upsloping for the area. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Unreal, our office is right at that 30.3 in central NJ. Someone on their coast is going to have a top 5 event me thinks. Can more of the 12z suite PLEASE do what the Nam did, even to an extent. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I didn’t see the output of the 6z UK after 0z’s move. I did however see a really impressive h5 map of about a 6 contour closed h5 bomb. NAM with a hurricane off the coast. Models are really starting to bomb this thing even more. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Good start to the 12z suite. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
That’s a Nam-ing. H5 made it pretty obvious it would leading in. Low jumps west and so does the qpf field. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hr 36 is a beaut Clark. Wide qpf field far s & w. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Definitely not ignoring nam’s thermals. Heavy qpf this run also can’t hurt temps. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Like this run for everyone through h30, but the 95 folks are going to really like it. Heavy snow west of the bay. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don’t hate what the Nam is doing through 27 vs 6z -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
We take small wins here remember hopium is our favorite drug -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Need a return to Nam’ing this morning to keep momentum going. Cam’s could be very helpful in this one. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’d take even the Nam or 3k showing it vs relying on the LR HRRR -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ve been watching that, it’s a wildcard as it’s been close on a few runs. no bullshit my phone just autocorrected when I typed east to WEST. #itshappening -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Check again EJ -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
No bullshit, you’ve been in since the beginning. You get a share of the name if this SOB trends and verifies boom scenarios in the sub. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Benchmark. 40/70 lat/lon. Textbook for NESIS/KU events. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
DDweatherman replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
@mitchnick just in the spirit of your post I weenied you too. That said, like I always say…we want every piece of guidance to go in our favor. The LOW itself doesn’t necessarily have to trend that far west for big improvements at surface. We just need clean phasing and early negative tilting/a little sharper trough.
