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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    I could even see back and forth precip types N/W of 95 depending on intensity for a time.
  2. DDweatherman
    6z suite looked pretty good mostly, euro looks colder as the precip moves in then just warms slightly quicker. Noise mostly, but obviously has meso implications depending on area. The thump seems to lock in 6-8 for most even down to the SE.
  3. DDweatherman
    I think I like 10-15” for your backyard, and I SHOULD be far enough n/w for 12-18” (wishful thinking?)
  4. DDweatherman
    It’s also location based
  5. DDweatherman
    What does the ole FV3 show? Saw a comment but mobile, can’t pull it up at the moment.
  6. DDweatherman
    The NAM’s run to run differences are amusing to say the least. I’m not that worried after seeing most of what the 18z suite had to offer us.
  7. DDweatherman
    Definitely an all snow sounding there.
  8. DDweatherman
    Oh it’s easily snow for DC.
  9. DDweatherman
    My oldest is exactly 6 and ALSO hasn’t seen the same. Good looking map, we’re excited for this one. New sled is on the way. 18z suite looked a bit better.
  10. DDweatherman
    Still not him, not yet.
  11. DDweatherman
    I feel like there are some good places in the Gettysburg area that would be a fun spot for this. What kind of place are you looking for? If I don't answer in a minute, I will in first thing in the AM. It's been a long day and I might doze off here in a sec.
  12. DDweatherman
    This has some excitement factor IMBY as well, the kids have never seen more than a 6" storm yet.
  13. DDweatherman
    the beginning of the end perhaps? We've staved off the rug pull for quite some time. All the model readers talked about how it was better...til it sucked.
  14. DDweatherman
    Especially advection precip, not usually an issue.
  15. DDweatherman
    It's the trade off for dealing with increasing qpf, 1.2-1.5" QPF is a prolific storm.
  16. DDweatherman
    Maps coming out now, I'll defer to our friends that like to post them, its a FOLKS.
  17. DDweatherman
    I'm 90% sure Euro is FOLKS for quite a few in the sub based on the precip maps.
  18. DDweatherman
    It's a drubbing for most. I'll lock that in right now.
  19. DDweatherman
    You guys living and dying by one model run at 96 hours is impressive. Even if the Euro looks like the CMC, that doesn't mean thats what's happening. I didn't know the outcome is determined by a couple runs 4 days out. Sure there are some amped runs in there as a trend, but let's look at the synoptics and also we've seen a lot of systems de-amp in the mid range.
  20. DDweatherman
    That's what I was saying. A banana 1040mb+ HP dome being driven into by a low thats not even sub 1000mb? Unlikely.
  21. DDweatherman
    Well and the other thing is we’d rather Randy be conservative and say it’s a wee bit drier than it end up wetter. If he honked it was a qpf bomb and ended up drier, we’d have him tied up in the corner
  22. DDweatherman
    Def was drier panel to panel, but then the run itself went postal for us all don’t think anyone’s complaining!
  23. DDweatherman
    they’re both right. Randy was comparing panel to panel, bncho the run and the feed overall. I get the 1 person on pbp but don’t give the unnecessary hate when he’s also not wrong sheesh. You guys have nothing better to do but blast a teenager (not saying you Kenny).
  24. DDweatherman
    6z Euro is a FOLKS worthy panel for the dc Baltimore crew.
  25. DDweatherman
    Does anyone have a good final totals map from the 2014 event? From what I remember the N/W crew (which I was not a part of at that time) totaled 20” in spots
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