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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Nam has a really fun time for most of us with low visibility wind blown mod to heavy snow Sunday evening into much of Monday.
  2. DDweatherman
    Rooting for this even at a .75 multiplier of reality haha
  3. DDweatherman
    Agreed, it actually makes sense this time with that strong of a flow creating some upsloping for the area.
  4. DDweatherman
    Unreal, our office is right at that 30.3 in central NJ. Someone on their coast is going to have a top 5 event me thinks. Can more of the 12z suite PLEASE do what the Nam did, even to an extent.
  5. DDweatherman
    I didn’t see the output of the 6z UK after 0z’s move. I did however see a really impressive h5 map of about a 6 contour closed h5 bomb. NAM with a hurricane off the coast. Models are really starting to bomb this thing even more.
  6. DDweatherman
    Good start to the 12z suite.
  7. DDweatherman
    That’s a Nam-ing. H5 made it pretty obvious it would leading in. Low jumps west and so does the qpf field.
  8. DDweatherman
    Hr 36 is a beaut Clark. Wide qpf field far s & w.
  9. DDweatherman
    Definitely not ignoring nam’s thermals. Heavy qpf this run also can’t hurt temps.
  10. DDweatherman
    Like this run for everyone through h30, but the 95 folks are going to really like it. Heavy snow west of the bay.
  11. DDweatherman
    I don’t hate what the Nam is doing through 27 vs 6z
  12. DDweatherman
    We take small wins here remember hopium is our favorite drug
  13. DDweatherman
    Need a return to Nam’ing this morning to keep momentum going. Cam’s could be very helpful in this one.
  14. DDweatherman
    I’d take even the Nam or 3k showing it vs relying on the LR HRRR
  15. DDweatherman
    I’ve been watching that, it’s a wildcard as it’s been close on a few runs. no bullshit my phone just autocorrected when I typed east to WEST. #itshappening
  16. DDweatherman
    Check again EJ
  17. DDweatherman
    No bullshit, you’ve been in since the beginning. You get a share of the name if this SOB trends and verifies boom scenarios in the sub.
  18. DDweatherman
    Benchmark. 40/70 lat/lon. Textbook for NESIS/KU events.
  19. DDweatherman
    @mitchnick just in the spirit of your post I weenied you too. That said, like I always say…we want every piece of guidance to go in our favor. The LOW itself doesn’t necessarily have to trend that far west for big improvements at surface. We just need clean phasing and early negative tilting/a little sharper trough.
  20. DDweatherman
    If I get 5” out of this, I’ll consider it a nice win. Was expecting very little and high bust potential 36-48 hours ago…regardless of what the gfs was saying. That said, whoever gets into the IVT is going to have fun, and I hope I can enjoy a bit of that. This is going to be a dynamic system. At least my thermals will be “good” relative to many areas.
  21. DDweatherman
    Excellent. I “felt like” 0z was kind of a blip. @Ampedi believe said it well, the h5 didn’t really lead to believing a 50-75 east shift was warranted. Let’s correct back west. let’s add another 1.5” at 12z
  22. DDweatherman
    Absolutely. It’s one of the most complex setups you’ll see. The one thing I like is how potent this is. Hope we nudge west today, and see a path to how we could.
  23. DDweatherman
    Yep, elevation dependent boom scenarios, subsidence zones, you name it. This one has it all. Winners and losers are guaranteed. Just hope the losers hit their respective bars
  24. DDweatherman
    They don’t mean much except to indicate latest trends perhaps. Might see the 12z Nam come back west some here in a bit.
  25. DDweatherman
    There’s a 4-8” zone west of a 2-5” zone for sure. Then another 4-8” zone on 95 with boom potential especially east.
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