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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    We’d take and root for boom scenarios. It’s trended nicely.
  2. DDweatherman
    Seems funny. Icon and rgem were again better up top at h5 too. Former more so than the later equated a bit at the sfc
  3. DDweatherman
    I’m really gaining a bit of confidence with the solutions we are seeing, the Nam looked really solid leading into about h42, got a little more messy after that, but one more move west for a cleaner phase & tilt and it’s a boom scenario for most of us.
  4. DDweatherman
    Nam is trending towards yesterday’s GFS runs. One more improvement at h5 and it’s gonna have 18-24 over I-95
  5. DDweatherman
    There isn’t a model I’d put less weight into at the moment. It has been horrid.
  6. DDweatherman
    To be fair, I’m still expecting 1-2” IMBY. I like the trends but so much fail potential. That said, to assume the euro isn’t going to go west more or show more improvement at h5 after the move it just made may not be wise.
  7. DDweatherman
    The euro is making nice incremental h5 shifts every other run. That was the best h5 look yet, but the surface isn’t quite as beefy to correspond.
  8. DDweatherman
    I’m mainly just looking at h5 and the tilt at h57, a bit more south at the base and a cleaner interaction of the energy. That and the sfc low is absolutely further west which at the very least influences the IVT a good bit.
  9. DDweatherman
    Watches will probably go up this afternoon further east and up the coast a bit seeing this development.
  10. DDweatherman
    Euro is better. Edit to say, by a good ass bit.
  11. DDweatherman
    We kinda need h5 base a bit south for a few runs.
  12. DDweatherman
    Time for it to piss us off like it quite literally always does. 6z was better than 0z which was worse than 18z which was a lot better than yday’s 12z…
  13. DDweatherman
    @stormtracker you on euro pbp for 12z? Also I pm’d you. maybe you decided to buy WiFi on the plane???
  14. DDweatherman
    I’d gladly take that, it’s one of the best kind of snows.
  15. DDweatherman
    What I'd like to see is the base of the h5 a bit more south these next few runs this aftn and evening. That and we'd like to see things sharper unless the whole orientation is going to slow down a bit and allow what we need despite a broader trough.
  16. DDweatherman
    Can only hope the trends are a sign the gfs is the one with the central solution and hope the others keep going. The damn euro is starting to look like the odd man out...I'm sure it still will in an hour.
  17. DDweatherman
    Figures that our favorite member grey hat will probably get 2' in this storm... mother nature does some funny things.
  18. DDweatherman
    Gold jacket, green jacket...
  19. DDweatherman
    I agree, NE is more about less of a capture and slightly progressive move but still a solid low pressure track. CMC was improved at 12z vs 0z (not surprising given the RGEM). Of course its all on to see what the damn euro does.
  20. DDweatherman
    I see it, I agree. Makes sense and could actually get better. I think thats why some things looked worse but others looked better and had the boom potential...still ended up a good run.
  21. DDweatherman
    Best run yet of the AI GFS I believe. It's a crappy model, but its been moving in the right direction.
  22. DDweatherman
    That's kind of what I'm seeing. So long as the rest of the 12z suite doesn't look hateful, I think some people might need watches later this aftn.
  23. DDweatherman
    To be honest, minus 3 feet over Chestertown, this distribution of snow totals and the numbers NW of the fall line to the bay COULD happen at this point. IVT looks impressive as well with a lot of coastal influence even on the other 12z runs.
  24. DDweatherman
    As long as the GFS doesn't make too many more moves SE, this run went about 30-40 miles in that direction, feeling like this has some teeth. ICON, RGEM, and NAM all made moves in the GFS direction here at 12z.
  25. DDweatherman
    Agreed, AI GFS got better again as well.
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