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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. The stage really is set for the euro here to either give us confidence or do what it’s done all season (get better at 18z then take an absolute shit at 1230am)
  2. So much damn energy in the flow. Lots that can go wrong but honestly a lot of phasing opportunities.
  3. I also consider it ML, like a lot of what we try to do with data analytics at work, it’s more learning algo’s than true AI.
  4. That’s a scary thought for a year, our best short term model will quite literally be the Euro and then…the rgem? Hopefully we get a higher res AI item to help out.
  5. Just a truly objective observation, it has been horrendous on just about every storm this year. Had the storm last week still bringing snow and heavy precip to us 2 days out.
  6. Notice on the models that were “out out”earlier at 18z, as the low moves more west, the IVT is more prevalent.
  7. Good trends nevertheless. A gfs hold or close to it would really actually be a massive momentum boost now.
  8. You’re right, I’ll take the low as far west and as “stally” as we can to let that IVT sit over us and dump.
  9. Agreed, if that lobe catches a bit better and the backside amplifies a bit better, I feel like it could cause the neg tilt look the gfs has been advertising.
  10. Let’s face the facts, it was a pretty sizable move by the euro in a couple of days. Energy consolidation upstream and also coastal development a fair bit west. regarding IVT precip, it was as a result much more impressive with a good UL pass. We’re still a good bit off the GFS, but it undeniably went more towards it than we could have expected if we were weenie casting.
  11. It’s better.. that’s what you should read between the lines of these unclear roller coaster posts.
  12. We GET IT. People are busy simping over the AI at the moment. They’re not even paying attention to Dr no
  13. My fellow brother in Christ, I HOPE we’re worried about mixing come this time tomorrow, that would mean a lot of things went down.
  14. Fuck it, it’s happening…until it doesn’t! Ai was a better run too if that helps our cause at all
  15. Can you stop posting this in the middle of the GFS pbp please? Of course with a shifting east coastal you’d shift the IVT east.
  16. I was yanking Randy, thanks for the support anyways Mappy. Can always count on it. for the on topic part of this post, the gfs is not a cave at all we see. It’s going to dangle us into 0z for more drama and heartache.
  17. If you think the Harlem globetrotters are as good as an nba team, then sure he’s good.
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