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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Early thoughts, fixing to make a fool of myself. Seeing hr36 on the ICON makes me think wave 1A of this will be a bit south of 12z.
  2. DDweatherman
    Couldn't agree more in the ways to win department. I love a huge win swath with those features in place vs timing a boundary wave where tiny variables have such noticeable impacts on ground truth. Here's to getting a few with our blocking scheme moving in.
  3. DDweatherman
    It looks like I may be okay depending on model of choice getting out of DCA Tuesday @ 4pm. However, my 8pm-11pm flight in Wednesday night has a dicey look to it.
  4. DDweatherman
    It makes it pretty wintry overnight Weds into Thurs. 850's are actually below 0 all the way into VA.
  5. DDweatherman
    It really is, even at mid levels it remains nice and cold. I have to check soundings, pivotal wants to put me in some snow/sleet weds overnight.
  6. DDweatherman
    Interesting thing to note is the euro doesn't even really get it going in DC and north until post hr 60. A lot to be decided still.
  7. DDweatherman
    Or any haha
  8. DDweatherman
    @mitchnick wheres the 12z AI update?
  9. DDweatherman
    I hear you going with the reverse psychology angle
  10. DDweatherman
    Greatly disjointed areas of frontogenesis in that one. H7 shot way north over N & C PA vs southern and the h85 closer to the low was down over DC/NoVA. I don’t expect them to be that separated in a system like this, where the surface low/any associated coastal isn’t a big factor.
  11. DDweatherman
    The other storm in January that screwed c md and DC definitely went NW as well. 7” IMBY edit to add you don’t want a W-E trajectory, makes a NW trend less likely for sure.
  12. DDweatherman
    So long Bob chill and friends
  13. DDweatherman
    Cue the windshield wiper GIF, if there’s a true NW trend it usually materializes in the last 36-48 hours. Look at yesterdays event
  14. DDweatherman
    No one has any clue what the Euro is gonna do here in a few. My bet is it’ll be a bit wetter than 6z and a touch south.
  15. DDweatherman
    Nope, Ralph is off on this one. UK is definitely a nod to the GFS. Moved the max to the south of 0z.
  16. DDweatherman
    6z UKMET at h66 looked solid, trying to post but can’t get the file small enough here on mobile lol
  17. DDweatherman
    Mid week snow cover could give a little assist with thermals depending on how much falls and what gets washed away Thursday post mix changeover.
  18. DDweatherman
    @psuhoffman definitely potential for next Sunday, favors northern tier folks given the slp track.
  19. DDweatherman
    I agree, h5 doesn’t look bad. Was aimed at us then pump faked. Could turn into something if that energy is real. Looking at the Sunday threat now.
  20. DDweatherman
    Yeah none of these people actually care about what happens outside their window. All we want is RIC to get waxed. You guys can have 15” if I get 5 or 6 all jokes aside
  21. DDweatherman
    Might I add our VP called Friday and asked if I could go to a client in Miami (weds AM meeting). Flying out Tuesday, and out of DCA. I’m sure they’ll end up in the light pink 12+ zone lol
  22. DDweatherman
    I think we’ve seen this episode before. The GFS leads the euro to water, but then the euro finds the right solution and the gfs has to work its way back to what it shows. Consider me surprised if RIC gets 12-16”. If those totals do verify anywhere, I’d expect N of EZF and honestly probably would be near DC.
  23. DDweatherman
    Just left the house, colder but not souther?
  24. DDweatherman
    Fyp. I tell you what, it’s way wetter down to the SW over KY too
  25. DDweatherman
    Would definitely give the gfs and Ggem camp a chance considering at range the euro hasn’t represented the pattern or blocking well.
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