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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    It’s a bit confusing too. Kicker is somewhat there, but not enough in my eyes to usher things out to sea that way given the h5 leading in. It’s indeed more positive and slightly less sharp on those frames.
  2. DDweatherman
    Interesting indeed. I’m looking for the hint, and through that frame I’m having a harder time finding it. Dropping in further west and ridge is pumped a bit higher in the rockies/PNW. Heights slightest bit lower in east but shouldn’t hurt it as badly at that hour. Must show up more in the next frame or two.
  3. DDweatherman
    I didn’t look at any h5 to say one way or another, just if something woulda got picked up. Seems like the biggest factor as I said in another comment is basing this off the tilt of the closed UL. Even if this originates a bit west of the prior runs, the real improvement needs to come in the orientation of things with that.
  4. DDweatherman
    The tilt is arguably more important than location, especially with the origin of this.
  5. DDweatherman
    Not a criticism, genuine question. Would a met reading and doing pbp have been able to see things there and say “well h5 is displaced west of 18z kinda nicely now however XXX happens negating those positive developments”
  6. DDweatherman
    Not looking at the runs, but it’s evident everything being west now isn’t everything for willing it closer. The line to be drawn on the coastal obviously has everything to do with tilt of the trough regardless of the location&base.
  7. DDweatherman
    Now we’re starting to see where the complexity of this could wreak havoc on modeling.
  8. DDweatherman
    It’s there but it’s not that close, weird evolution of the low. Interesting to track.
  9. DDweatherman
    Ggem should be an improvement over 12z by the looks of things through h72
  10. DDweatherman
    Yep, even near Asheville to Raleigh would be great. Not a ton of mechanism to yank it poleward per the gfs.
  11. DDweatherman
    Yet again, I love how the wide swath is slowly moving closer to the sub. There’s a likelihood the wave itself may not be quite as deep/as far south, even if we get the tilt we want. That would put us all square in the meat and potatoes.
  12. DDweatherman
    Can we use our one time on this comeback? We’re 90 hours out…
  13. DDweatherman
    102 is a very solid frame, our best one of this “comeback” for a lot of the sub. Even .1” line up to MBY.
  14. DDweatherman
    I can tell you with the trough neg where it is and the lobe with the tpv more disconnected…it sure should. I’d have to check where the 850 low is though.
  15. DDweatherman
    The youngsters never do…
  16. DDweatherman
    F it, let him go. We all learn. We are watching the run and hoping that’s exactly what we say in our heads.
  17. DDweatherman
    That is what we want in this case, less yankage, correct?
  18. DDweatherman
    Like seeing the precip going that far west this run into TN/KY.
  19. DDweatherman
    I hope tomorrow is a long, caffeine filled day for you pal…sorry
  20. DDweatherman
    Should give it move time to round the base and try to get negative for us.
  21. DDweatherman
    Deal, I want to buy the first two if that’s the case
  22. DDweatherman
    I’ll give you 5 bucks if the euro looks like that.
  23. DDweatherman
    Could have been a 2/5/10 snow zone with that track.
  24. DDweatherman
    Wish that was the euro showing it. That’s beautiful
  25. DDweatherman
    How was the JMA last run?
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