DDweatherman

I’m about to change my name to CarrollValley21

Reminds me of leesburg04 big time

I was only trolling, I definitely want us all to win. I’ve done, relatively speaking, pretty well this year. My folks between Dc and here have had a rough stretch the last 5 years. its like when we complain about Boston getting snow…different climo’s. RIC averages 11” of snow a year and that’s the long term average, it’s probably more like <10” given climo changes. Places like Westminster over to PSU land average 30”. That’s a big difference, and it’s not as much about winners and losers vs climo and anomalous.

I love when short pump gets pumped. @AlexD1990 I’m only trolling a little, but I’m sorry grown adults are upset people are ignoring their existence down there. The GFS hits em good.

A lot of us don’t give a rats ass about RIC, just ask Mitch.

Not really, warm and little zr to the far NW but thermals go to shit quickly weds aftn/thurs

The Ggem is an atrocious model, that’s the good news

No secret that its an IMBY sport.

Yeah, I don't like where this is going for the most part. The heights were worse this run looking at it now, but the GFS shield was a bit more expansive. I can see the GFS being the northern/juiciest outlier soon.

I didn't look lol, was just thinking about brunch since my wife is at one.

It's not gonna be good Randall. This time is better spent at a brunch

The ICON kicks off 12z with a resounding NO

I'm starting to think the I-70 crew gets split and even up to my area and the M/D gang, barely any precip.

Its a different solution. Little space between the waves and a decent precip orientation at h84. Takes that first round south this run.

That’s actually insane. I think my current home now has seen 7 since then. Moved here in 2021 so I didn’t see a couple of the best (3/2017 and 1/2021). I think those were both double digit storms at my house.

Looks like 0z last night. Though it looked like this run moved a bit more focus to the reinforcing energy like @psuhoffman said. May be in between outcomes in that regard.

New run actually spitting out here in just a sec. 0z looked pretty good moved in right direction for us.

Looks damn good, my yard is the purple spec

Maybe I shouldn’t weight the GFS the way I was, but it seemed an outlier solution to be even when we were in the big dog totals

Are you guys talking about the Tuesday storm? The euro has 6-8” for the LSV, UKMET pretty similar…

The Ggem isn’t that impressive to me. It’s not south but it’s also dry.

Honestly, I hear you. But people are allowed to do whatever they want. They can chase unicorns and 10” storms if that’s their MO. They’ll just be rarely satisfied or get to see those outcomes

The GFS hopefully just doing crummy American model things like it usually does. However it’s been solid the last 2 weeks with our waves. That being said, concerning with the new dropsonde data being input with 0z.

Don’t let that smoke in the house or your wife is firing your ass. Tell her it’s GFS time. You and the folks are hanging out

is what you want to look for as a precursor to F words of the positive variety