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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Was worried about this a few days ago, extremely fragile set up and easy to fail. We haven’t done well historically in Niña’s with big amplified phase events. That plus the seasonal trend of deamplificafion of shortwaves made this an uphill battle to hold onto the big solutions at d5
  2. @NorthArlington101 is almost always associated with bad news. I vote we keep him out of the thread for a bit and try to change the vibes. Sorry NA, nothing personal bud.
  3. I think at this point, it’s simple what we want, the Nam type solution where WAA precip comes in north and hot thanks to weaker confluence and the SS vort can climb a bit
  4. The gfs isn’t making friends this run
  5. I thought you’d start after your ex wife. Gfs is out to 42, little bit of positive change out west early, but unchanged for the most part.
  6. Once the gfs is out, the discussion about drugs can resume, both for models and individuals.
  7. You run with the pbp. Let’s try a new driver
  8. This winter of decent snow but constant missed potential but mostly wall to wall cold may result in speeding up my plan to move to Florida
  9. No, @dailylurker has that good shit I bet
  10. That was a great one. Was in southeast Baltimore. Remember it starting to flurry right after daybreak, cold smoke and 6.5” by the end of it. BUT MORE IMPORTANTLY, the start of 63” in 12 days for me. 1/30: 6.5” 2/2-3: 5.2” 2/5-6: 31.5” 2/9-10: 20.5”
  11. It’s okay. I’ve been telling @TSSN+ for days we weren’t getting a storm. I’d love to pretend I bought it. But we just don’t do snow well here, and the pattern is S&E and de-amped.
  12. This storm will be down to a nuisance event by tomorrow at this rate
  13. What pbp there is none? (And for good reason) lol
  14. Definitely not. The euro just had a 975 off Norfolk
  15. 975 right there, we’re real close. That low is way stronger this run. 0z will definitely be telling
  16. % probability of being wasted for 0z pbp’s tonight?
  17. 1.5” today (might be more, but that was at my house when I got home, was raining a bit and compaction). 22” season to date
  18. Easy to say right, but I would expect the GFS to produce a better outcome than it did.
  19. I actually don’t hate the low position up to about 105-108, would expect a little better shield
  20. I think you guys are locked into the WAA
  21. Really hoping this is a decadal change for the PAC. here’s to PSU and Bob being right about that. Sometimes when we get hot, we can still do special things here.
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