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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Good thing it starts in 15 hours, that does help.
  2. DDweatherman
    That’s definitely sleet unfortunately.
  3. DDweatherman
    All for Boston to laugh at us when they pick up 20” in this…fitting end to yet another disaster for us. Just hope it thumps, and when it doesn’t we can sail off into the sunset.
  4. DDweatherman
    Just need to root for the best model in the world and its AI companion. I guess if we’re down to the end here, it’s a good teammate to have.
  5. DDweatherman
    Closer to hour 30, even worse. It’s QPF inconsistency is volatile even when we’re tracking inside hour 12.
  6. DDweatherman
    If 13z went out as far, it would be different. The US mesoscale sweet is literal trash outside of 25%-40% its range. (HRRR hr 12, Nam/3k hr 36, rap and RRFS hour 0)
  7. DDweatherman
    Wxmodels page doesn’t have kuchie like pivotal for icon, 10:1
  8. DDweatherman
    6z RRFS map
  9. DDweatherman
  10. DDweatherman
    Basically, Euro folds to the GFS then the GFS folds to what the Euro or the warmer models were. Lost 1-2 inches in most places from 0z-6z gfs; 6” line moved NW. Lost 5” IMBY.
  11. DDweatherman
    The 6z suite quite frankly was a disaster for the sub forum. RRFS was its worst run yet. GFS was warmer, drier, and NW. Don’t want to give off panic, but I don’t like these trends after the best euro run yet.
  12. DDweatherman
    The 6z RRFS and ICON were not very good runs for the region.
  13. DDweatherman
    Why not just do it Sunday at 2pm? I do think that nowcast does bode well for us, less ML warm tongues out there.
  14. DDweatherman
    The model war will definitely continue into the final day, willing to bet.
  15. DDweatherman
    Even if these models are right, it’s such a bad idea to use them in their extended range. The HRRR is wrong often at hour 6 much less post hr 18.
  16. DDweatherman
    Down to 18 degrees here!
  17. DDweatherman
    That’s 18z again, but regardless they’re very close.
  18. DDweatherman
    Let’s get crushed by the GFS and let it be the beacon of consistency/improvement we like/need.
  19. DDweatherman
    Let’s be honest, most of the models you don’t like (I also hate what I saw) are the lowest of the JV suite.
  20. DDweatherman
    Yes, I saw it was 12-14 over us at 12z
  21. DDweatherman
    Just when we thought the models were picking up the impression of the high pressure and the damming.
  22. DDweatherman
    We made great progress at 12z and I liked the nams through 36. Let’s see what the jv models have vs the middle school model set.
  23. DDweatherman
    It always starts that way and losses to end that way too…. But let’s hope it’s doing NAM things…could be post truncation and outside the best range. We were hoping it was good 2 hours ago. Most of these mesos do in fact suck, and AND they’re at range.
  24. DDweatherman
    The NAM kinda does truncate at hour 36 I believe? Could make sense.
  25. DDweatherman
    I see that, we’d have some good growth, dendrite central. Can still see the NW crew pulling off 13-15:1 ratios.
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