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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Just looked at the 18z euro and gfs AI suite, both are a bit north and more juicy than 12z and that seems to be the trend the last several cycles. I could see this providing a last minute surprise especially in the higher elevations. The rain a few days ago ended up a lot more substantial than models had it and the qpf axis ended up 50-75 miles north of the modeling from the night before.
  2. DDweatherman
    Definitely beefed up nicely vs previous runs. Ai had been a lot more bullish for a while. I’d love to sneak into 1-2” even if Winchester east got a Jack. Maybe tonight’s runs will keep the juicing going. wonder if the RAP is juiced up? lol
  3. DDweatherman
    The northern elitists which I’m default a part of haven’t been elite in a long time. As a matter of fact, I moved here after their heyday, so I’ve never been elite at all.
  4. DDweatherman
    Op euro = Dr No?
  5. DDweatherman
    I feel like the ai has been moving in that direction. Doesn’t it also have wintry precip with the “wave 2”
  6. DDweatherman
    Now getting ready to piss on some more local yards it appears
  7. DDweatherman
    They have to exist to be able to post em
  8. DDweatherman
    I love Bob but if that map verifies again I’m pissing in his yard and melting the snow.
  9. DDweatherman
    rgem somewhat too. Gfs is beefing up norther with its wave over VA at hr 48
  10. DDweatherman
    The euro is struggling badly right now
  11. DDweatherman
    Thats because it comes in from the WNW, not our favorite vector…SW is best. That said, I’ll take my chances vs watching one more suppressed POS slide south of us. AI looked pretty good this morning who knows.
  12. DDweatherman
    It was a sacrificial thread for Monday, how ever that’ll probably be gone too and I can accept a few month suspension til May
  13. DDweatherman
    I’d prefer the simpler evolution of the gfs, realistically they could both be right if pulses come out.
  14. DDweatherman
    After it had .5 Qpf tomorrow over dc until 18z (still kinda does) 24 hours out, are you gonna BET ON IT?
  15. DDweatherman
    Love the more southwest to northeast approach versus due West, looks pretty classic for our area with a nice high in place. T minus 5 days.
  16. DDweatherman
    yep that’s all she wrote. I sacrificed myself for Ji to get the good one Monday/tuesday. Fine with it.
  17. DDweatherman
    I'm declaring this dead. GFS will either cave at 18z or just continue to keep being wrong. This shit is day out.
  18. DDweatherman
    Wow, the euro actually got smoked at d4 lead times pretty hard in that one.
  19. DDweatherman
    To be honest, probably not. We still see very mixed results on SSW's in our area and their direct impact on sensible wx. It can help, but its not that we didn't have cold in place. Displacing the TPV from over our heads would have been more helpful.
  20. DDweatherman
    Lol looking at the 12 hr image huh. I mean you're not wrong. It ends up north of last run and more amped but no dice.
  21. DDweatherman
    I don't even know if we can call it a storm, and it may not be one
  22. DDweatherman
    Agreed and I'd take that all damn day long.
  23. DDweatherman
    I agree, until it comes north/amps more at 18z...
  24. DDweatherman
    There's no way at these leads all of the cam's are this far off, the Euro AI did move a fair bit north to us, but damn... the gfs is on an island 24 hours out lol...
  25. DDweatherman
    GFS has to cave at 18z right? Or?
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