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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    I’d roll the dice with that look…potent
  2. DDweatherman
    Just touched on it above, it’s best run thus far. H5 was a nice improvement.
  3. DDweatherman
    I know 6z h5 looked its best thus far, how’s it compared to that run?
  4. DDweatherman
    this is about my call to a T except a 5-8” swath somewhere in my area over to 81 from the IVT.
  5. DDweatherman
    Second comment to say the gem’s evolution looked more like the cam’s a bit just a minute ago at 12z. It’s the best that model has looked at h5 to date.
  6. DDweatherman
    Makes good sense. 6z eps was a move west with features and a good h5 look.
  7. DDweatherman
    So can the euro move another 50 miles west at 12z like it did to come back at 6z?
  8. DDweatherman
    As I said, not east for folks north, just nudged the axis at our lat to the east. we could definitely see this nudge east or bounce around some today.
  9. DDweatherman
    Doesn’t have that much to do with miller b logic here
  10. DDweatherman
    It’s actually more west up there but east at our lat a bit. I don’t know that we’ll ever have a full consensus until ground truth.
  11. DDweatherman
    We definitely do the best when all our UL passes align. We need to improve that today. How’d it look on the NAM?
  12. DDweatherman
    Not sure i buy that especially with a 974 off Rehoboth. Yes vertically stacked always helps esp for classic deform, would be surprised not to see it close up.
  13. DDweatherman
    Gfs led us to the dead end road to meet the Nam and then bail on us.
  14. DDweatherman
    It’s just dry. Unusual for Rgem. It was west some up top.
  15. DDweatherman
    Same, naturally. Close to the catoctins at around 900’ elevation, hopefully I’ll get some benefit from the pivot and bands
  16. DDweatherman
    Yeah I’m prepared to be in the min, but thinking easterly flow should help me a bit over here.
  17. DDweatherman
    Seeing the h5 axis more negative and positioned a bit south on the 12z nam’s helped a lot for the capture and bombing.
  18. DDweatherman
    Looked at the Nam again a minute ago upstairs, the h5 improvements while noticeable and impressive were NOT huge and resulted in a MUCH MUCH better outcome on 12z
  19. DDweatherman
    Gonna be fun overnight Sunday into Monday if we can get those 30+ mph gusts and some good falling snow.
  20. DDweatherman
    The turd models are all off to a good start. Need the varsity models to give them support. Seeing the gfs look more like yesterday mornings run would help a lot.
  21. DDweatherman
    Nam has a really fun time for most of us with low visibility wind blown mod to heavy snow Sunday evening into much of Monday.
  22. DDweatherman
    Rooting for this even at a .75 multiplier of reality haha
  23. DDweatherman
    Agreed, it actually makes sense this time with that strong of a flow creating some upsloping for the area.
  24. DDweatherman
    Unreal, our office is right at that 30.3 in central NJ. Someone on their coast is going to have a top 5 event me thinks. Can more of the 12z suite PLEASE do what the Nam did, even to an extent.
  25. DDweatherman
    I didn’t see the output of the 6z UK after 0z’s move. I did however see a really impressive h5 map of about a 6 contour closed h5 bomb. NAM with a hurricane off the coast. Models are really starting to bomb this thing even more.
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