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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. In general, this set up is so fragile that microscopic differences upstream involving the phasing and tilting of the trough could have substantial surface differences, even in the final 24 hours.
  2. I think for our areas, it looks like the IVT is key but I do expect a wider swath on the western edge with all of the energy moving through. It is a classic pass.
  3. The euro did move back west from 0z, I didn’t look at frames but allsnow up in NYC said 50+ miles.
  4. I honestly don’t even like it that much at the surface given how good the damn h5 is. I guess we just need to see the sw dig south a bit more. OR that clipper piece could phase in…
  5. There’s a shit ton of energy in the flow this run, hope it feeds into things.
  6. Yeah tell me about it, I know he follows this stuff extremely closely lol.
  7. They think ulcerative colitis, we knew he had an ulcer but middle of the night last night he spiked a big time fever.
  8. That is a nice look. Best we’ve seen yet from the hrrr. Way outside of range, but again a piece of guidance we want to in our camp like the rest.
  9. If you’re not staying in the woodlands or near galleria, Houston is shit.
  10. I think you missed my post because it was at the end of a page, but you made the changes and improvements sound overstated this run. Then you did post an h57 trend that was noise differences
  11. Good thing it’s getting both closer and stronger. Cleaner phasing and more amping helps the norlun/inverted trough axis for sure.
  12. I agree sir, well said. The trend is towards bigger totals, and the h5 continues to improve. Phasing is getting cleaner. Somewhere is getting a historic number at this point.
  13. Coastal NJ and NYC up to LI and CT might be backing into a HECS here.
  14. The heavy #’s are still moving west, what if it’s not done moving our way?
  15. I’m disappointed in you, you showed the “trend” and it was almost identical at h57 vs 12z at 63. I mean maybe an asshair better, surface was improved I’d say.
  16. We kinda live there… not the high elevations but my 900 feet couldn’t hurt.
  17. Given the 18z euro ropes us in often, I expect today to be a good happy hour run. 12z and it’s ensembles and AI were good improvements.
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