Call me crazy, but if the Euro would have just kept the S/S energy in the exact place as 0z/6z, with as favorable as it dove in the northern piece, we would have gotten 6"+ even back in our areas.
It was broader/a bit west with that energy through about 72hrs, but then the northern piece drops basically due S and gets nudged in by the TPV to give us a pretty clean phase/allows the low to get going sooner.
If the southern energy in the southwest would have just looked the same as 0z or 6z, with the improvement in the angle of the northern piece dropping in and being stronger (aided by the TPV pushing in), this could have been a great run.
It ended up being real damn close once h5 closed off, delayed more with the way the energy phased in (was a little more held back than 0z), but then the h5 rounded the base/closed off because the n/s was stronger and drove in to phase more north/south to tilt our axis.
Its just not that hard to see the trends when youve looked at the last 24 suites of runs for the storm to know where its going relatively early on. I have nothing to lose but it was obvious this wouldn't be to the level of 6z by about hour 66.
Its not like its a disaster run or anything, just saying we won't see improvements from the already best solution. Probably similar to 0z or slightly less.
You have a completely depleted corp on D yet the healthy part of our team that was calling predictable plays. The ball was getting ran down teams throats then we couldn't finish the job in the red zone throwing on multiple downs...