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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. It's frustrating we cant congeal this energy, and are stuck with the boob lows..tugging the whole system further east
  2. Icon did sorta too. Seems like many failed coastals have been afflicted with them in recent memory
  3. ICON is a hair west. tickles the ccb closer to Cape, in case Ray was interested
  4. should be better due to less shit streaking north of us..but that's the extent of my long range NAM analysis
  5. That's a decent guess at this juncture. Maybe 3-6" here unless it trends to a clean whiff, like Feb 1
  6. A lot of post 12z coping/venting in here, including myself. Still a small window to correct this to a decent hit in SE areas, but probably need to see those moves tonight. It seemed to me that the OPs moved towards the ensembles while the ensembles kinda shifted west a bit. I know that's still not great for many
  7. Tough to even get Cape scrapers. So happy for the Euro that it nailed the whiff
  8. They gave me a perc, so if probably be more disappointed otherwise. Big AI run coming up
  9. Just out of hernia surgery. 12z suxxx, sans GFS Maybe I won't have to shovel though
  10. The Euro seems cooked, despite the aggregate stats on its accuracy. We'll let it play out though and see if it's onto something.
  11. again, 12z was very bad. Better as in good? or better as in still a miss but closer?
  12. RGEM stubbornly cold. wish it had more support
  13. Meh. 18z AIFS a small tick east. Thought it looked slightly better at 500 early on
  14. Hopefully more like 6z and not some sort of uninspiring compromise
  15. I'm more interested in Euro AI. If that bumps NW Ill feel more confident. The 12z Euro was so far SE that it almost has to come back a bit. The AIGFS run was mildly alarming I guess, since it matches the GEFS mean
  16. Then feel free to ride it. I'm not saying the data is is inaccurate overall, but it HAS sucked on several singular storms over the past month.
  17. It's amazing how it pulls these scores given how bad it's been around this area, wrt storm placement in mid range since mid Jan
  18. 18z will have it near the Delmarva then 0z will plug the plug again
  19. EPS have flip flopped a ton as well. so hard to trust them.
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