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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Whale whale whale
  2. olafminesaw
    Good signal on CMC ENS
  3. olafminesaw
    UKMET ensembles much stronger ridging than the GEFS
  4. olafminesaw
    https://x.com/ECMWF/status/1889742587109445760 Love how all the comments are Turkish weather weenies, apparently there is quite a blast of arctic air coming their way
  5. olafminesaw
    UKMET was about to be good at the end of it's run
  6. olafminesaw
    GEFS seems to generally be in lockstep with the GFS, but definitely a bit south/ colder
  7. olafminesaw
    The GFS is much faster, not allowing the cold air to get established. It's all about timing
  8. olafminesaw
    Gets squashed Louisiana and Texas win again.
  9. olafminesaw
    A thing of beauty that run is, crushes the Carolinas and N Georgia
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
    Not hung up on specifics, but I don't love seeing the GFS back away from a strong HP. Been a struggle all season to get good timing of all the pieces.
  12. olafminesaw
    Inconclusive indicies related to those periods, not really what I would expect. Could be obscured in the period by a short period of chance on the indicies, which is not reflected in February's average. I also wonder how rare it is to get +PNA, -NAO, -AO in a la Nina year. We probably don't have a very good analog pattern. 2009 AO -, PNA -, NAO neutral 1996 AO neutral , PNA -, NAO neutral 1989 AO +, PNA -, NAO positive
  13. olafminesaw
    Does anyone have any examples of big snow storms in late February in a LA Nina year?
  14. olafminesaw
    Decent icing in Stokesdale. More significant ice higher up in the trees, probably as much as .25
  15. olafminesaw
    You know what, that was a bit much, removed it
  16. olafminesaw
    Brick couldn't quite reel in the brick storm to everyone's satisfaction, this one is all Barney, work your magic anthropomorphized dinosaur
  17. olafminesaw
  18. olafminesaw
  19. olafminesaw
    Gets actual cold, holds back energy...story of this winter
  20. olafminesaw
    Wherever temps get locked in at or below 29 degrees, high ice totals will occur. All depends on temps at onset
  21. olafminesaw
  22. olafminesaw
    Usually I like the NAM and RGEM, which indivicates borderline temps for ZR. Really rare to get the temp to drop once precip moves in. 6z models generally took a step warmer
  23. olafminesaw
    Just a little end of run HRRR magic at happy hour anyone?
  24. olafminesaw
    Euro and GFS also have it FWIW
  25. olafminesaw
    Worth watching for some sleet N of 85
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