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Posts posted by olafminesaw
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Really a bizarre frontal passage. Low humidity ahead of the front and clear then clouds and increasing humidity behind it, with a wedge settling in a full 12 hours hours later. Any idea what's driving this?
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The GFS has a high temp of 84 on Monday and an afternoon high of 47 on Tuesday. While spoiled in the record books by a midnight high, this would be about as extreme a swing as we see around here!
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A survey of the city proper. Looks like overall the area around the bay fared better than the tourist strip
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The first I've seen on the East side of the city. This would be where the surge would have occurred and appears to be significant standing water still.
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It does seem like a lot of the construction in residential areas is more concrete/cinder block, as is more typical in Mexico. So hopefully the general population fared better than what we have been seeing.
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31 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:
Wow, somehow Otis has rapidly strengthened into a major. FL winds to 110 kts and unflagged SFMR values near 100 kts. Absolutely insane high end season going on over in the EPAC
The 03UTC forecast this morning had it max out at 70mph. I think the models were even less enthusiastic. One of the biggest forecast errors in a while, for a landfilling hurricane anyway.
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Greensboro averages 6 days with lows in the 30s or lower going back to 1903. Despite this, Greensboro has not had an above average number of days since 2008 (which had 9). We have had two days so far this month, but will almost certainly remain at 4 or less days through the end of the month with the upcoming warm up
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It briefly popped up to 59 today at the airport, but looks like it will not reach 60 for the first time since April 8. That's pretty much right on average. Seems like normally this occurs on a rainy day, but I don't have any data to back that up.
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7 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:
Pacific (Pacific east and west) producing this year
8 out of 11 typhoons in the WPAC this year have reached category 3+ intensity. 6 out of 8 on the EPAC have achieved the same.
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AccuWeather is calling for wintry mix on Christmas Eve and Christmas in the Triad. Lock it in folks.
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Quite possibly the prettiest storm of the year. Also a contender for strongest of the year.
https://x.com/135knots/status/1712038686479761797?s=20
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35 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:
Landfall at peak intensity and intensifying rapidly. Wish there was footage from the landfall point but thankfully this kept heading south into extremely rural countryside
Josh morgerman is trying to make it to the landfall point seems like a pretty risky proposition.
The eye has filled in right before landfall. Likely weakened back to cat 3, but too little too late of course
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There have only been 9 major hurricane landfalls in the EPAC in Mexico since 1983. Or one every 4-5 years
Central & Eastern Pacific Thread
in Tropical Headquarters
Posted
Incredible photographs (hopefully not paywalled)
https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2023/10/photos-acapulco-aftermath-hurricane-otis/675835/