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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Trying to rotate hot towers around the center, has a chance to push the dry air out of the core if it continues
  2. A bit concerning with respect to surge potential especially if this thing comes in a little stronger. Thankfully, for the most part, coastal LA does not build in the flood zones.
  3. What is ideal track? A bit right of the current NHC track?
  4. Looks like the GFS takes the energy from 90L across Mexico into the Pacific where it becomes a hurricane, making landfall in Mexico before crossing back into the Gulf and developing into a hurricane again.
  5. No doubt a cat 5 now. Probably went through some kind of eyewall restructuring over night
  6. Some of the wildest banding I've ever seen. Well on it's way to cat 5
  7. What a beaut! Looking a bit annular. Looks stronger than 105 mph...
  8. Huge corrections from all models. Now many models have it slowing down prior to landfall which may give it an opportunity to go through ERC before landfall
  9. At GSO we are at 82 hours and counting with a dew point below 60. That is the 7th longest streak all time for the month of August.
  10. Already seeing gusts of 50-65 mph across the island
  11. Not a nice fresh delicious cinnamon roll. The one that's been sitting in the case at Panera all morning, growing steadily more stale.
  12. Fair enough. I feel like we've been spoiled by a lot of RI hurricanes lately
  13. Looks like it took a big gulp of dry air
  14. Bermuda is a tiny target to hit. It fits nearly within the DC beltway with room to spare. Bermuda has had a number of brushes with major hurricanes and a handful of direct hits. But never a cat 4 plus. With SSTs being way above normal, it is not outside the realm of possibility for Bermuda to have a strike from a cat 4.
  15. Pretty neat graphic, you can watch an animation of the obs across the island as the storm approaches https://www.weather.bm/tools/graphics.asp?name=ISLAND_AWOS&user=
  16. Yesterday's high of 73 is the coolest since May 15th! This morning felt refreshing as well
  17. Evident eye on radar. Puerto Rico getting pounded with rain
  18. That's 20+" of rain for Bermuda over the next few days, primarily from a PRE (Predecessor Rain Event).
  19. It appears Debby did cool waters somewhat significantly right at the coast, but should recover quickly
  20. Keep it in your pants East coast!... sometimes I think they do this on purpose
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