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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    I don't think it dropped, thank goodness
  2. olafminesaw
    Big debris ball heading into the west side of Collins. Hoping it can miss just to the West
  3. olafminesaw
    Will head through a relatively populated part of the state
  4. olafminesaw
  5. olafminesaw
    While things are relatively quiet, any thoughts about tommorow in the Carolina's? Seems like the SPC outlook is pretty tame while local mets are hyping it up a bit.
  6. olafminesaw
    My bad, I misremembered. I do feel though they are a world a way climate-wise. Would be nice to have more posters from those states
  7. olafminesaw
    I agree, but it does suck that AL & MS don't really have a subforum that's truly theirs. Technically they fall on the western states sub, but nobody posts there from the deep south
  8. olafminesaw
    Parts of Alabama are in the moderate day 1 and high day two
  9. olafminesaw
    Pretty darn close
  10. olafminesaw
    They actually reduced the wind threat, removing the 45% area entirely. I guess that may be due to increased confidence in super cell storm mode, which don't tend to produce a wide swath of high straight line winds
  11. olafminesaw
  12. olafminesaw
    Day 1 for the Midwest in the discussion. Probably better question for the Lakes/Ohio valley subforum, kinda forgot this was the SE thread!
  13. olafminesaw
    Today's SPC discussion mentions gusts of 60-100mph. Can anyone think of a time when the SPC mentioned wind gusts that high, excluding Derecho setups?
  14. olafminesaw
  15. olafminesaw
    This AI model is a bit more aggressive for the Carolinas. I love a good strong storm, but hoping that we can keep the high end stuff from materializing.
  16. olafminesaw
    I don't know if I can think of a single storm system over the past 6 months that didn't lose momentum once it got into our region. 6 out of the last 7 years have been above average rainfall, so this may buck the trend and be below average.
  17. olafminesaw
    Focus of this one seems to be west of the Apps for now thank goodness
  18. olafminesaw
    It would seem based on obs, that little or none of this band is reaching the ground . Quite a dry airmass!
  19. olafminesaw
    One last fantasy run for old times sake?
  20. olafminesaw
    We also just forget what a below normal winter feels like. The cold stretches were fairly impressive but mainly because they were sustained rather than because of near record cold. In fact, the coldest low of 15 at GSO is above the average coldest temp of 9. The min-max was somewhat more impressive at 23 vs the average of 27, putting it in about the 25th percentile.
  21. olafminesaw
  22. olafminesaw
    Lol!
  23. olafminesaw
    Comparing the 9z sounding to current on the HRRR, check out the lift on the left hand side, seems the drizzle was a result of subsidence, stabilizing the atmosphere (even though neither sounding has CAPE)
  24. olafminesaw
    The line is picking up steam as it enters the more favorable environment
  25. olafminesaw
    Almost had a microburst look to it. I'm assuming the bow echo was able to bring down higher winds aloft, has weakened since
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