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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    ERC well underway. Seems to be going rather smoothly.
  2. olafminesaw
    Convection wrapped fully around the eye the past couple frames. Could easily be a major by 8pm
  3. olafminesaw
    The Salton sea averages 5-6 inches of rain per year and the saline body of water is highly toxic. Honestly not sure what a years worth of rain in 48 hours will do.
  4. olafminesaw
    Kathleen (1976)is a very good analog. Described as a 1 in 160 year event https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Kathleen
  5. olafminesaw
    Pretty unbelievable honestly. I can't imagine more than a weak TS by the time it reaches CA, but could be a significant flood threat
  6. olafminesaw
    TFW the first TS landfall in the US this season could be San Diego.
  7. olafminesaw
    Current CAMs seem to suggest the morning MCS will be the main event (strong to borderline severe storms), with some scattered strong storms behind it. Usually these large MCS systems do put a damper on several storms later in the day, even if they clear out by mid morning.
  8. olafminesaw
    Seems like timing is the big question. May move through too early in the day. Parameters aren't as impressive either way, but a nice line of storms regardless.
  9. olafminesaw
  10. olafminesaw
    Bumpass has a good view Hehe
  11. olafminesaw
  12. olafminesaw
    Yeah, for sure. While I love me some severe storms, it's a fine line between a good show and property damage, insurance claims, or worse. My gut is this will be a pretty classic widespread strong/severe wind outbreak, but nothing high end and not much in the way of tornadoes.
  13. olafminesaw
    First 45% wind prob for RAH since Oct 2019, first Moderate risk for Blacksburg WFO since April 2019. I think this one deserves a thread!
  14. olafminesaw
    Enhanced risk for most tommorow, primarily wind driven. Since the enhanced category was introduced in 2015, RAH hasn't been under one during the month of August
  15. olafminesaw
    Although it's disappointing that the mountains will prevent more significant rainfall today, it's nice to see a forecast high in the 70s. This brings to an end a 42 day streak of highs at 80 or higher, which is fairly close to the average for the longest stretch of the year
  16. olafminesaw
    True, although water temps still certainly a limiting factor, even with such crazy anomalies.
  17. olafminesaw
    I'm just imagining NHC trying to make a cone for this one...
  18. olafminesaw
    On the plus side, we are now more than halfway through the hottest 90 days of the year. Also...a slow decline towards the winter solstice.
  19. olafminesaw
    It did some restructuring and now it has a double eyewall that it will likely maintain through landfall. Pretty neat stuff!
  20. olafminesaw
    I nominate this one for strangest looking cyclone of the year
  21. olafminesaw
    A work of art this one.
  22. olafminesaw
    https://mrcc.purdue.edu/gismaps/cntytorn# Seems to be the first time (unless maybe that fishy looking one right on the border)
  23. olafminesaw
    From the live stream survey cam
  24. olafminesaw
  25. olafminesaw
    Fortunately it mostly passed through farmland. Brattleboro (population ~500) may have taken a direct hit though.
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