Typhoon Tip
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Everything posted by Typhoon Tip
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I think you're going to have a better shot at this on Thursday/late .. into Friday .if timing works out.
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This is an impressive note.
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Me neither ... that other goofiness aside, I posted about this a couple hour ago. Heights are following only slowly ... The front seems like it's paralleling the flow.
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I've always scratched my head when they do this kind of illustrating ... Obviously "in or around" should suffice, but is it really impossible to be a little tidier? - haha. Danbury CT, and Nashua NH ... bombed. But that light sprinkle in Orange MA? Phew, that almost shut things down, huh Is it really hard to just draw that from HFD to PWM and call it a day? I think it's pretty clear they relay upon county lines - or I suspect so ... - and it may not be convenient to do so, but this technology isn't like DNA - it's not causing cancer if they change how they f'n do that. Guess there's more important problems in the world.
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yeah our winds here along Rt 2 are convincingly W to WSW.. 94/66
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I bet the warm air floods out to WInthrop over the afternoon..
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Impressive... BED 97 ! 93 here
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I can see the tops from here ... Appears a wind shift is working E. We've gone WSW to almost due W here over the last hour, with more tree top movement .. Probably 20mph over the canopies. anyway, it appears there is a convergence there where that lingering SE inflow is being met by this pulse moving E, situated over NE Mass
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of course ... a mid level deck start emerging.
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Yeah I've been trying to engineer a way for others to get into the 90 club all morning. Verdict still out on success - lol.. But agreed. I think though this day has more chance of scouring out the subtle stable layer that's plagued the bottom of the sounding. It's really from you to about Logan... along and E of the line is 3 to 5 or < below the 85 I have presently here. My wind is SW... ASH is E... But above the deck there's a little more momentum ...blah blah, the boundary that's 'not really there' retreats?
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Yeah, 10 after 10 ? interesting to test that. If it works out, we'll edge big heat.
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I'm wondering how proficient convection will penetrate SE across the non-hydrostatic gradient later tonight. Those heights are not in any hurry to fall - though receding slowly. You like height falls, while still elevated hydrostatics -that's the cap recession happening with elevated CIN moving off if need be, or, just making for very sensy triggers. For this region of the country, we could use some mid level wind momentum too/shear kinematics to give assist. Those mechanics ... are they in place tonight S-E of ALB? This looks like a candidate for a front to come in underwhelming and end up paralleling the flow before fading ... It'll be enough to make for 73/49 top 10 gems for a couple days ...then - There's been a better convective signal for the end of the week that's been consistent in all the guidance.
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Over arcing synoptic ridging is suppressing anything from happening over CNE/SNE, so far through this period, yet is insufficient in kinematically driving an offshore wind. Which allows an oceanic creep to move into into eastern regions like at scene out of that B- '80 horror called "The Fog" Great. So we desiccate in cool misery. Actually, not me here in Ayer - I'm commiserating for the E and SE folk, where clearly ... modeling was not sophisticated enough to see these oddities nuance them out of this summer burst before it really became clear in very short term, that would be the case. They should get some this afternoon - me thinks. I've been literally right on that interface between the two worlds. Drive up to Westford's Wholefoods ( lest I rely upon the local 'rural' Americana 'canned ravioli' chains ..), which is immediately astride I-495 there ...and you can sometimes smell the mash-up between eastern mass industrial effusion and marine taint, and it's routinely 7 to 10 F cooler. That location is only about 7 mi E of my longitude. Yesterday was about 87, though, while we were 91.
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Looking and comparing E regional obs, it appears wherever decoupled overnight - and those close to and E of that boundary Saguaro posted above were more proficient in the regard - end up back in a N drift. Those closer to the coast, variable between NE-SE. W of that boundary, the weakly decoupled area was more variable to dead calm. Yet, ....WPC analyzed the synoptic weird boundary that seems to fester with physics disconnected from God ( ), repositioned farther NE up into southern Maine. Sarcasm aside, that boundary does not really reflect these meso scale circumstances that are still plaguing the 'warm stretch.' What I am also noticing this morning, as we heat up... as the temperature rises to between 78 and 80 ( now ), sites are showing a flip to WSW ...albeit very light. ORH at 1000 feet is WSW the whole way. One thing this whole ordeal apparently lacked was a strong enough llv gradient to drive the wind field/fronts along. This is a stagnated scenario, or close to it. The air quality around the region as the yellowed sun rises through it is pretty 'ozoney' for only having DPs in the mid 60s ...and I think that makes sense given the lack of sufficient mixing associated with that former reasoning. As we continue to warm, the feeble deeper layer environmental wind momentum may just be enough to mix out that stranded air mass over eastern zones ... I dunno mid day. Nashua was 73 with an E flag wobble zephyr; Bedford popped to 79 and went WSW.
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E of the Hudson ...? - haven't for 25 years
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Rounding down only to have to round back up later just offers confusion. It seems pretty redundant and stupid but what do you get from an EDU lol
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Not many “dew” … not in here. There’s one or two exceptions that laud DPs. Perhaps loudly
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The near shore fog bank just shifted abruptly ...now moving more parallel to the coast, S --> N as opposed to getting sucked in like's the Bay Area/SF ...It was like looking at that classic pull through the GG gap, mirror opposite - coming into the Boston from our Bay. It looked identical. Meanwhile, out here in the "central valley" we're 88 to 92. Anyway, I'm wondering if they get the 7 pm wind shift and T burst as the city farts -
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At this point they're putting up 91.4 over sustained time at KFIT so... Anyway, most sites within a couple clicks of me in the home network pinged 90 anyway - I think this and perhaps the Springfield area were the trophy regions for this day. Tonight's going to be groin in the urban centers - probably 72 to 75s, not until the 4:45 am at that. The kind of ramp up tomorrow where the atmosphere is so prone to rise, the mere day light prior to the dawn has it up a couple clicks. Sun tips over the horizon and away we go. I'm also wondering if we get more debris clouds spilling over the region by early to mid afternoon, so that may keep tomorrow from going completely Hades
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I'm not sure how we're doing this ... there may be a subtle d-slope aspect. The wind's light and bouncing around the dial .. .but tending to average S here and at KFIT, both lower elevations than points south of us. That little bit may be why they've pinged 89 and we have 88's popping around my town's home sites. Seems we are 2 to 3 warmer along this strip of Rt 2... It feels legit fwiw - actually BDL's 88 by decimals. I think there's something funky about the C conversion to F at MESO Utah.edu though - ah... moot point. If there's ever a candidate day for a late high, today is definitely it. Hot sun until 5pm this time of year, with these adiabats in place... 90 to 92 is certainly possible sprinkled around the area. Logan..haha.
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88/67
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Okay ... unofficially crossed the uncomfortable threshold here. 86/67, full sun, zip wind. I was standing having a discussion with a neighbor. Beads of sweat on the forehead kicked in after about 10 or so minutes. I guess if you're driving down the road with the windows open it may not feel as hot, but it's still heat at this point.
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84/66 here... That's a 15 turn around since 11:30 ... not bad. But looking at area obs, it appears we are still even now slabbing the lowest level with abandoned cool. The 1000 foot high ORH ob is solid WSW at 83 - that's the same temperature as lower els surrounding. Quite unusual. Anything to steal today's heat it seems - weird. haha. But congrats on verifying your Heat Advisory -
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heh... I was being sarcastic.
