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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    Well said my feelings exactly too!
  2. Kevin Reilly
    The only thing that matters to me on that GFS Run was that there is a large storm. The storm is in two pieces but its a typical GFS thing to misunderstand the split of energy in a split flow. I am sure that the idea is one consolidated low east of the Delmarva instead which would net you a 1-2 foot snowstorm possibly more if there is decent blocking.
  3. Kevin Reilly
    Warm tongue of air off the Atlantic Ocean way too much fetch it happens often lately going back over the past 15 years especially due to our torched Atlantic Ocean!
  4. Kevin Reilly
    3.86 here in Media Delaware County generally 3-6" of rain in Southeastern PA lots of streams out of their banks winds basically 25-40 mph at times.
  5. Kevin Reilly
    Media, Delaware County 3.86" ... on the way in Darby Creek over its banks in Darby.
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Now is that at the surface or 2,000 to 5,000 feet up off the surface.
  7. Kevin Reilly
    So far, this December has a 1980's feel to it a few flakes, rainstorms with wind and Temps hanging most days 38-48 with some wind to throw in.
  8. Kevin Reilly
    It's okay no worries 18z Model runs are notorious for being drier and further east and southeast with the storm development.
  9. Kevin Reilly
    Hmmm there is more water surrounding the United States North American Continent and the South American Continent remember the waters are warm simply put the more land you have the colder the more water the warmer. Waters hold onto warmth longer than the land therefore your land locked areas are supremely colder landmasses than the landmasses surrounded by warm waters where warm air is free to flow from the warmer waters over to the land pushing away the cold air masses or not allowing them to move in.
  10. Kevin Reilly
    Two things I like above: 1. That's a pretty strong storm that far south 992!! Move north a 992 should have no problem dragging down the cold air from the Great Lakes and western New England. If that 992 moves NNE and develops along the way it could be a blockbuster. I like this a lot! No blocking high so it should just move.
  11. Kevin Reilly
    yea not sure a 1006 mb low will create its own cold air looks more like the 994 up off of Southern New England is sending colder air SSW but I would think this is bogus because the atmosphere will be flooded by Atlantic Warmth time will tell to see if something develops though.
  12. Kevin Reilly
    Wonder if some of that is sleet which is exaggerating the accumulation?
  13. Kevin Reilly
    Where are the 40mph+ winds at?
  14. Kevin Reilly
    Canadian Model wins lol and it just hit 60 but we lost the sun now.
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Yes, I too wonder if this is the signal for the pattern change, but I have not really seen a 978 parked over Wilmington Delaware. I wonder if this storm is a tad further east and a storm that strong man 978 would manufacture its own cold air and there is cold air crashing southeast, so I am interested in that storm.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Second that! Trying to remember if we saw flakes at all in November or December last year (sarcasm). I am going with snow totals for the year of 20-30" for Delaware Co
  17. Kevin Reilly
    3K Nam flipped pretty quickly so there is that showed snow through the Delaware River into New Jersey. I think definitely I would side with the dynamical models here with this one models like the GFS just don't cut it. I like our chances for snow Monday Morning 4 am to 10 am especially the Delaware River west, northwest, north, and northeast. I will go with 1-3" mainly on the grass with wet to perhaps slushy roads especially north and west.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    Well take a look at the Cam we would be in paradise right now: Downtown Truckee | Tahoetopia
  19. Kevin Reilly
    March comes early!
  20. Kevin Reilly
    It's a start definitely need the cold to settle in before the storms can come running up into the cold or storms developing up the coast with cold air hopefully locking in. Feels like forever since I have heard "Cold Air Damming"
  21. Kevin Reilly
    That 18z GFS man that might be the biggest Bermuda High I have ever seen in December LOL the wild swings in the GFS has been comical from 938 mb a few days ago off the east coast to what I am seeing with HUGE Bermuda high tonight laughable but its obvious that the long range is up for grabs.
  22. Kevin Reilly
    Hmmm After Christmas.... I remember when first hearing about El Nino that this weather event usually was called so because the affects to the weather pattern often was centered around Christmas the coming of the child.
  23. Kevin Reilly
    Our new normal.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    I will not be wrong! If it were Cold well?
  25. Kevin Reilly
    The Great Lakes Freezing Over that's a funny one. When was the last time the Great Lakes Froze over all of them?
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