Kevin Reilly
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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly
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Here is the sad reality that is pretty much climatologically normal maybe even slightly below.
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Yea Euro and Canadian were hopeful looks like they were both picking up the blocking and holding the storm closer to the coast, further southwest, and also holding the storm closer to our area for longer.
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The only thing I take from this is a storm is on every model for November 21st with a -2 NAO I am interested models are clearly in flux and Chaos over this bring it on!!!!
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Umm I have hope for November 21st at this point something is brewing with a NAO at -2 or so rising towards neutral I will take the chance!
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Very light rain here trace so there is that future for rain and snow looks great! This pattern is horrific!
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Currently 35f humidity 53% dew point 20f High today 47f low this morning was 30f Finally, below normal temperatures but Zippo coming in regard to precipitation. I mean this is crazy we have gone from blocking highs keeping all the rain away now to blocking North Atlantic Lows something HAS GOT TO GIVE SOON!! I will say this in this new age one extreme leads to another so it's not a matter of IF an EXTREME WEATHER EVENT IS COMING HERE, IT'S A MATTER OF WHEN!!! Sorry for the caps but it is truth! Something BIG is coming soon even if it takes 1-3 months! I am sure this gets a hot dog.
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Currently 59f humidity 98% dew point 58f Total Rain: 0.48" (I will take it and run my under over was 0.47" so there's that) It's a start.
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Still a trace and the trace has dried up nothing left again second time today. 56f humidity 76% dewpoint 44f.
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Still a trace and the trace has dried up nothing left. Looking at radar nothing coming either from the west-southwest everything is well north and west from here.
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56f breezy humidity 55% dewpoint 40f trace of rain thus far
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Today marks the first day in about 3 months I have even needed to look at the HRR Model for short range tracking of precipitation.
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Great shots!!! Look at the smoke!
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Mostly Cloudy right now with an inversion layer temp is 51 degrees. The low last night was 34. We have fairly poor air quality, and it smells like a house fire out there right now.
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hopefully the rain we get next 24-36 hours will help. We just don't know yet though how much we actually get. I would say we get somewhere between 0.28-0.44" down here which would just about tie the amount the last time it rained here 0.38" on August 18th. We shall see how the precipitation distributes around the area, but it would not be surprising if we underperform.
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Looks to me more of the same we have seen over the past few years the pacific and the southeast ridge just dominate Mississippi east and we get relatively cool and wet at times.
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Not happening it will never make it also I am not sure it is moving any further west as well as it is right now. At one point about a week ago it was supposed to be up here in the Mid Atlantic tangled with a cold front that ship has sailed a long time ago as well.
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Next run of the gfs will be a hurricane coming up the East Coast rather than snow on the 18th to the 22nd we just don't know yet? Soon though?
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Next run will be a hurricane coming up the coast LOL. We just don't know yet LOL
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Any idea what the sea surface temperatures are under Rafael? it's just about in the Loop Current.
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Ummm how about 0.38" of rain since August 18th up here in Southern PA and oh yea today marks 40 days in a row without a trace here. Also, we have had about 6 record highs too. It's bad here!
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You mean Grand Cayman radar Cancun is about 400 miles wnw from this point.
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Do we have any officially reports the best I think we could do here in Media was a trace. I mean this dry period is dreadful and now we are set to add another 10 days to it with the only hope a storm along a front come Sunday, November 10th, but we know it is 9 days out and what can happen.... what could go wrong??
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Too many air conditioners on?
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hmm since 2003 think we had a big snowstorm that year not sure.
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60% Chance with a line of Severe Thunderstorms.
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