You really need some wind for big ice. Supplies lower dews from the NE to offset latent heating. It's why for big ice events we really need a meso low. In 08, ORH was gusting 20+
Yeah basically done. Just some lingering freezing drizzle or light sleet. Low levels are gonna stay wedged for a while so probably some fzfg this evening in spots
You want the DGZ saturated with lift through that layer, so a thicker DGZ provides a much larger favorable window. Basically just increases the size of the target.
Ratios will probably be mediocre due to the warming layer aloft, but I doubt there will be much paste in CNE. More than likely a flip to sleet before hitting 32F