wx2fish
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Everything posted by wx2fish
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Snow line entering MHT on CC
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This is most impenetrable 1-1.5" imaginable
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Noticed I dropped a couple degrees just before noon. There was definitely another little push
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Lots of small flakes here in the last few min. Torched aloft, so it's low level stuff
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Ticking down 29.5F. Absolute scalping
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Down to 31F and pelting
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Mostly sleet now. Coating
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Looks like it'll end up an hour or two behind the more aggressive runs, but no doubt it's moving south pretty quickly now
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Looks like the 20s are moving into Rockingham now from the NE. Should be into your area shortly, if not already.
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Just hitting 32F and already quite a bit of sleet mixing in. Probably a good sign for limiting zr in S NH. Real cold push looks like it'll be here in an hour or so.
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Looks like some better stuff pushing in. Ive found the Quebec City radar (CASSF) sometimes picks up returns coming into Pittsburg better than gyx or btv.
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Nam looked a hair colder aloft up your way tomorrow. Hopefully you can tack on snow after the pelting.
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18z EPS mean is west, tossing some qpf into sne. Probably a few interesting members.
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Most models drop ASH to 32F 3-5am. Probably upper 20s by 7am. Tomorrow looks like a mess.
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Pretty nasty run for BOS. 32F around 12z with close to .5-.75" qpf after
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Could be a pretty high impact period tomorrow morning. Even at BOS, from an aviation perspective, mod sleet or heavier is a no go.
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It was decent too, maybe a hair slow, esp south of PIT. There was less disagreement there than there than here. Tough and interesting call around here. If we do get a meso going and solid NE flow, it may very well tuck better into E MA than further west, atleast initially.
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GFS was actually pretty good near PIT this morning (had to forecast there last night). GFS was a couple degrees too warm but showed the arrival of 32F better than hrrr. Doesnt mean it right here though.
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Not really sure what to make of it. Most of the warmer runs like the hrrr are still really cold eventually once it does surge south. Euro just kinda pushes it all south at like 30-31F
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The differences in sfc Ts are pretty wild. 18z Euro may even have the sfc front slightly south of the gfs, but the gfs is just ridiculously cold north of the front
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Yeah looked like pretty similar to me, just a tad less qpf across NNE
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That's a nice cold tuck into E MA on the hrrr. If we get the meso oriented like that it's gonna be a violent drop. NE G25-30KT near the NH seacoast.
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We have somewhat course internal soundings, but the warmest layer appears to be 750-800. MHT area is a paint peeler 7-11z, and the warm layer is right around 0C by 12z.
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What a funky looking run. Would drop the grid somewhere in SNE. I'll sell 3-4" qpf though
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Ukie is colder than 12z. More gfs-ish
