wx2fish
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Everything posted by wx2fish
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Better look for around here than the NAM. Not banking on much of a thump here.
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He used to jump all over people for rushing spring at work. Welcome to backdoor season "this is what you all wanted", not sure what's happened to him recently.
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I'll take cold and snow threats til March 31, then ideally we could jump into 70s in April...but we know how that works around here.
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I think we are still above normal snowfall wise (looking at the Hudson coop) The prolonged dry stretch in Jan was definitely annoying, but it could be worse. We've been just far enough south to catch some of the southern events and avoid the negative snowfall departures in parts of ME.
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I'm skeptical it rips past MHT by 12z like alot of runs. I could see it hanging up near the MA border for a while through early tomorrow morning. I could be wrong, but well see what happens. Maybe we tickle up the 32-ish mitigating alot of the glazing.
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Flipped over to snow in the heavier echoes moving through
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Deck is glazed over here too, pavement still mostly wet. Down 27F. Anything untreated will be nasty by sunset. Dews are still awful low across SE NH/SW ME on NE winds. Gonna be a slow process to reach freezing across the interior.
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18z NAM shows this to a degree and it does mitigate the spike.
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It's gonna happen even up to Dendy by afternoon after the precip ends. No getting around a brief spike after the CAD mixes out. Its still warm aloft when the winds go west.
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RPM was cold too. I still think we take the under on sfc Ts outside 495, esp Central MA northward. Aside from the post precip mix out midday tomorrow.
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Certainly wouldn't be surprising, just like taking the under on sfc temps
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Without seeing a full profile I'd guess the euro is alot of sleet north of route 2. 850C line hits a brick wall near the border. 850 and 700 are 0 to +2c during most of the precip
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12z nam is decent net gain for you. Warm layer is basically 0c for the meat of it. You'd sleet, but get a thump first I think
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Depending on how close you are to the border 2008 may have been pretty good in Methuen. My inlaws live in Haverhill near the river...there was a glaze there but not much damage, it increased rapidly in the northern part of Haverhill near the border. I remember sitting at their house in Haverhill watching Bouchard on WHDH. He meh'd it and basically said it was going above freezing out to AFN. Meanwhile, it was pouring ZR right to sea level in NE MA.
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That's the type of sounding you may even get some flakes forming under the inversion
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After the 6z was dropping a half inch of leq across Central MA
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Finished with 2.3"
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Definitely picking up a bit. Solid band across NE MA stretching just over the border
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It's possible they are pretty close. I think you'll find similar in Methuen but well see, I have about 1.3" here
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It's definitely true in some of the biggies, but its tough to imagine Methuen doesn't average a little more annually
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Just over 1" so far
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Pretty juicy 3km run. Gets a little boost before pushing offshore like you alluded to earlier
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My guess is the href will look pretty nice, atleast N of the pike. Scrolling through the ARW, NMM, ext there's some pretty bullish 12z runs
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3.8" will do it
