I'm still a day out, models this set of runs have jackpot running from PA/MD line down to south-central VA. Some models do things better than others, we shall know better tomorrow. It is a fun and frustrating game, as always lol.
Currently a degree colder (37.2/25.3) at 12:30 pm than at the 7 am CoCoRaHS report (38.2/29.5) with a NW wind at 11 gusting 24, feels like winter has returned.
Exactly. A look like this robs 60% of the forum of snow. MAYBE some ice/sleet to rain, not snow. And one more 'flick' like this and it goes to 80-85% of the group. You want south to be snow and for it to ride up, not west to east.
Well, I'm basically 'jackpotted' with this (between the 16.0 and 17.8) so NOT a final solution, lol. It'll drift back and forth, and I'm fine with that, long as the storm in general hangs in the area.