wxdude64

Heavy front thump followed by hours of a sleetfest.

Let's hope.

Well 12" of snow OTG with 2" of sleet beating into it leaves you with 8" total on the ground when all is said and done. Course, that 8" of now concrete is gonna stay around quite some time.

Low was 9.5 degrees here. Looks like we de-coupled overnight? Higher up it in upper teens this am while spots even lower, down on the river floor around 5 degrees.

Agree. Why I said I'll give it two more runs to see if this is a blip or an actual trend.

I'll wait for the next two runs of models to see if this was a 'blip', but yeah.

Not cliff jumping, just stating facts. You start pushing lows into WV then 80% or more of this forum is waving bye-bye to large snow numbers and hello to 2,3,4 inches of front end then 1-2 inches of sleet or quarter inch of freezing rain, then MAYBE a switch back to snow and another 3-5 inches. Again, only a couple models showing this but a bad, bad trend is starting to rear up.

This. We've had 125% of the needed 'north trend' happen in 2 runs. It is only Tuesday as you said, this happening over the next 3 days would have been a lot better. MAYBE a couple models drift back south, but usually once a trend starts it doesn't stop. I know it's only the GFS and CMC, but heck at this rate we may be talking severe weather by Saturday.

Actually about .25-.30 more for NC/VA line north.

As much as I'd like to do a meet-up, battling the hack/cough/wheeze stuff, blah. Y'all have fun!

When was the last time The Natty showed the ENTIRE state of VA at 12"+??

27.2 high. Currently 16.4/-3.5 at 8:30 pm.

100%, I road that line last year back in February. 15.9" here of HUGE fatties while 20 miles to my south was a pingfest with 5".

33.2 over 3 days, I had 34.2 over 3 days.

I'll pick 25 to 1 please.