mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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I'd love to hear you get out of this one....
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Bam's Michael Clark looking a bit exasperated it would seem. https://youtube.com/shorts/hr8jn5FdW9w?si=2uUi4VUJhE5GN8w-
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How? It's a passage of a cold front after a period of decently AN temps that are slow to leave. Very little precip falls per the run before and after that 216hrs panel.
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One other thing. This look of the Eps with the ridge to our south guarantees imho the closing off of Gulf moisture. Cold and dry. Meh
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Nobody said that. The fact remains that we can't get anything to work without perfection, and there's no such thing as perfection in MA snowstorms outside of 1 every 12-15 years. I contend the general NW-->SE flow is the reason for storms failing to develop vs prior years and weak qpf output. If this doesn't change at some point, get used to ensemble progs the rest of the "cold enough to snow" season being right.
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It's been uncanny how several threats that look so promising while looking at 500mb end up just like that. Gfs had one last night.
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The differences between the end of the Gfs and AIGfs runs are beyond laughable.
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Let's see if the Euro's rain predictions at this range are as overblown as it's snow predictions at this range. My guess is Yes!
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Great...any snow?
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Par for the course.
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Hard to believe so little qpf out of a 996slp.
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Well you thought wrong.
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That's OK. He hasn't changed much either since the 90's.
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Don't you have some pictures to hang in the new house for your wife?
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Close to .35" as it started off wet.
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Another abysmal EuroAI snowfall run. 18z that is.
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I had 3.5" on 12/14. Higher elevations in Northern MD got upwards of 5". That was the last and only "decent" event up here this year, though I've had a couple 1/2"'ers and 3 or 4 days of trace snow.
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The NW-->SE flow that has been prevalent for the past 45+ days will not allow for a storm to spin up. We need the PNA to go decently positive or we're screwed if this pattern continues the rest of the season. Not totally screwed, of course, but limited to northern stream clippers, or clipper like systems, with accumulations of 1-4" max. Of course, it's been weeks since we had one of those, so they're not a guarantee either.
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Ask my wife to marry me.
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Anybody watch this?
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Damn that thing. So close.
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18z gfs has a potential clipper around day 10. Maybe explosive?
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No ensemble snowfall improvement on the Eps unfortunately.
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Well, when I saw the top 5H anomaly map at 252hrs, I wasn't expecting it to look like the bottom map at 264hrs. But I won't fight you on the "beggars can't be choosers" point of view.
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1/16 looks interesting on the Euro Edit: until it failed
