mitchnick
-
Posts
28,570 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by mitchnick
-
We are snake bit with this lousy pattern that has established itself this winter.
-
Might go back to snow, but it's an unbelievable scenario.
-
With the High Pressure pulling off the Virginia coast, you knew we had no chance.
-
Gem light, but just misses the big one.
-
GGEM has more potential. Let's see what happens.
-
I had no choice.
-
Meh up here.
-
Meh, a little too far south for my liking.
-
It's pretty compact, but getting bigger.
-
Yeah, if the Gfs can dip and then hook that storm NE, it may get big near the coast.
-
It's doing that already on the Icon, but may be too strong and/or unable/unwilling to move. Even if it cooperates, however, we still need the vort controlling our storm to cooperate as well. Iow, the Canadian vortex is only 1/2 of our problem.
-
That tpv in Quebec needs to lift out if it has any chance, and that's assuming our slp wouldn't just slide out to sea.
-
Icon? Looks it would be suppressed, but idk.
-
Compared to the runs of the last 5 days+ of the Gefs, there's finally some life in the 18z snowfall total. I didn't go into how or when. I'm looking for totals >1"!
-
I thought he was dead!
-
Gotta' look for hope somewhere and the Gem did look best among the 12z bunch that ran through 2 weeks+. So what the heck.
-
I haven't gone into details on how and when it falls, but suffice to say the Geps has the best snowfall for the 12z run. I put the link to Pivotal if you want to delve into it further. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=cmceens&p=sn10_acc-mean-imp&rh=2026010712&fh=6&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
-
Is that for Niñas in particular or for all Enso states?
-
It's just overrunning that unusually further south.
-
There was a small uptick over 0z in ensemble snowfall, albeit meager. It's better than going the other way.
-
That NW flow is killin' us.
-
Euro Ai looks like garbage
-
Just gunna post. Nice step toward something bigger and better.
-
You can get a good idea on the short term at this link with the warming temps under the equatorial Pac and Cfs2 wind anomalies. I doubt we see much help this year with a westerly wind burst progged around the 1st of February. Probably too little, too late for this year, but positive for next (famous last words!) https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/ensocurr.html
-
I think everyone (ok, many) would take this!
