mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Probably not wet due to low temps from 850mb down. More likely rimed or mini snowballs until the warm layer is deep enough to completely melt the flakes and then fall as sleet imho.
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Looking at the 6z Ukie, it's a little cooler at 66hrs than 0z at 72hrs thanks to some better confluence. May be a tad slower. Cooler is probably likely since ensembles responded.
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Here. Only goes out to 66hrs at 6z and 18z however. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmo_global&p=prateptype_ukmo-imp&rh=2026012206&fh=66&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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6z Ukie ensembles convinced they were too warm.
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Eps remain nice.
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GREAT!!! Link to all the parameters. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=cmc_gdps
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Eps wasn't posted. Also Geps and Ukie ensemble.
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Yeah, it went north some, but the 6z Rgem went south and dropped a foot before changeover. Nam still far out. 3k Nam, though only at its limits ofc60hrs, looked south of 12k fwiw.
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WRONG! Much better in spots with back end upper low on Monday.
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Ninja'd
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Gfs gets upper low action on Monday. Sweeeeeet!
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Gfs still snowing 1pm on Monday!!
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Little better than 0z
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Mean
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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
mitchnick replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
While waiting for the Euro, check out the last 48hrs of the GGEM. Incredible! -
End of the GGEM 0z run is a real nail biter. Incredible closed trough in the south after historic snows trying to pull north the coastal. Wow!
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Anyone with the parallel Canadian, please post. Thank you!
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You're a panel early for most!
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Maybe some mire to the Southwest?
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That looks south to me, but I don't have SV maps to compare.
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How about 700mb?
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It stalls and keeps snowing and snowing on NE.
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Ok, glad we figured this storm out. What's next in the medium range?
