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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Slight move north in heights continues thru 45hrs. Not much, but better than them sinking south causing us to backpedal.
  2. Slight movement north in heights on the Euro thru 33hrs suggesting a move north this run.
  3. Gfs loves the SER too. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500h_anom&rh=2025020900&fh=294&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  4. Ukie has been incredibly consistent for days. Along with the AI.
  5. Just don't buy those big numbers in central VA. DC/BWI I could see.
  6. It does, but unimpressive up here. 18 hours of snow with an accumulation of 2.5-3".
  7. Hours and hours of snow with little accumulations. I guess we needed a new way to fail.
  8. Graphics are way overdone on Pivotal. Snow covers the area for 2- 3hr frames with only a dusting.
  9. Coming in at a better angle too. More 1:30/7:30.
  10. Nam a few hours slower to get things going. Hopefully that helps.
  11. If we don't get Nam'ed, I'll be very disappointed.
  12. I still remember waking up real early Sunday morning to check out the 6z Eta and my heart sank a bit thinking the rug was getting pulled out. Then 12z rolled out and it was over. Sooo fresh in my mind. Darn shame memories from 25 years ago are easier than 25 minutes.
  13. No other threats show verbatim on 18z AI, so it better get juiced.
  14. 18Z AI came north and juiced up around DC/BWI. Hard to say by how much because the scale is so big (.4" - 1.00".)
  15. I agree it's not over. I'm just scared what "over" ends up looking like.
  16. Yes. I posted it earlier. Scroll through until the end at 84hrs. It starts at 60hrs. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PT&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PT&hh2=084&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060
  17. Eps should be embarrassed with its silicon a$$.
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