mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Amen!
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Day 9-10 Gefs 18z v 12z. Baby steps
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Snowfall for last 24 hrs of today's Euro 12z forecast. Doesn't inclide next weekend. It is the most agressive model, however, but 18z Gefs is coming in now and it's colder than its 12z run.
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Gefs, in fact, suppresses the slp. Heads almost due east once to VA/NC border. New England gets the shaft.
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Gefs mean never goes into the Ohio Valley with the slp. Much more classic Miller A.
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I'm probably 1500' from the eastern end of Adams County. The difference between the western and eastern ends is incredible sometimes.
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If i could see a redux of the 12/20 event imby, 7"+sleet, I could be very happy especially since I'm not sold on a pure snow event.
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My old homestead is the 2.5" south of Baltimore. Good riddance!
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Bubbler special...congrats!
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The surface High in Canada actually jumps in strength after the storm is already cranking. Incredible.
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Please be close to correct Gfs
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Next frame here https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2023123118&fh=168&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=prateptype_cat-imp&m=gfs
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Still going 3 hrs later and u low hasn't come thru yet. Yee hah
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Crushing run thx to better confluence
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Wow Hp jumped to 1031 from 1029. Better results
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Hp in Canada holding in better at 153 hrs than 12z run at 159hrs
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Euro is 1/2"+ for that little appetizer before the big show. I'm hoping it overperforms to really get me fired up! Lol
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Geps for a split too.
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Nice Ninja! Lol This can only help in extending the cold.
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Eps snowfall total. Somebody pinch me...not you @Yardstickgozinya
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12z and 0z eps snowfall for comparison. Pretty close, for better or worse.
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Fyi, I read that the Ukie was a miss to the south. That's good to hear, but man that model sux at 7 days for snowstorms. I don't care what the 500mb map ratings say.
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All I know at this point is that I'm glad I don't live in my old location 2 miles north of BWI. After 33 years in the same home, I miss it at times for other reasons but not the winter weather. I'd be livid right now if I did. Lol
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Actually, when I move 2 time frames forward, it increases. Something wrong, but here it is anyway.
