mitchnick

Gefs mean

Ukie LOLOL

Canadian has no precip or storm in the SE US at 240hrs. Lol

Looks to be suppressed at 240hrs.

Oy, There's cold but maybe too much of a press.

Gfs looking to move back to its look for PD when it had the 3 in a row snows. Too early to say if cold gets here on time.

Icon ain't smoking what Gfs did overnight.

Yep. End of the world can't come quick enough in my book.

Unfortunately, it's not warm enough. I hope temps rise 2C every year. And I'm doing all I can to see to it...old gas lawn mower that smokes like chimney, oil for heat that leaves that nice smell in the neighborhood, gas appliances.

Meh, math is easy when you put dollar signs in front.

Snowfall line went back north a bit. Eps not budging.

Believe it or not, 0z was slightly better. Probably due to a bigger hit next week.

That's what I'm talking about! Beautiful

Some suppressed members in the Gefs for sure for PD on this 24hr mean. Not a terrible thing at this range.

Getting a beautiful sunrise here.

Eps pretty decent from this range during the days 11-14. Around 2" imby.

0z Ukie was close to it and with the amount it moved soith from 12z, another move south at 12z today is doable. Then it has to hold. Lol

Gfs finally showing what I've been waiting for to believe the weeklies' great pattern. PDIII. There are 2 snowfall maps attached because, like PDII, it's long duration (2 days), so you need to ADD TOTALS FROM BOTH MAPS!

That's a whole new set of problems right there.

Icon disagrees with Gfs

6z Gfs lol

Ukie came way south from 12z too.

0z Gfs slower and further south. Gunna be better.

Assuming we can't get the cold to move in fast, next week can work if the vort can be delayed enough for the northern stream to come down and push it south. How could that happen? Well, closed lows have a tendency to slow down and meander a bit without a strong flow and most modeling is showing a closed southern vort that is slowing. The 18z Eps and operational Gfs are hopefully onto this slowing, which has brought snowfall further south on both runs. This is a low probability event for most south of MDT, with a start as rain for certain, so it would be, at best, a changeover to paste. But there is time, which may be the best feature at this point. Lol

Let me take a momment to admittedly misuse the Eps because I'm lazy. That said, %'s did increase as well. 12z on top, 18z on the bottom.