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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    And then blocking may reappear as it often does late in seasons that featured blocking early. No guarantees, but it's not so simple. Heck, 95/96 was a Niña and had no problem being cold and snowy in February for many on the east coast.
  2. mitchnick
    Without the December and early January snows, I don't see how this year can compare to 13/14 unless we get crazy February and March snows.
  3. mitchnick
    It's a measure of the Pacific, not a driver.
  4. mitchnick
    Ughh. Hate the Euro. Lol
  5. mitchnick
    Gem is a gem.
  6. mitchnick
    Just gunna post. It's bringing something out of the GOM. Where it goes???
  7. mitchnick
    S&E again with the system. Ughh
  8. mitchnick
    Gem has that trough stuck in the sw. Where have we seen that before?
  9. mitchnick
    Ninjad
  10. mitchnick
    Gem may have something post 180hrs
  11. mitchnick
    Looks like 1 on Thursday to me.
  12. mitchnick
    The key to February is that all long range guidance has precip AN all along the east coast. So warmer temps and AN precip in February is conducive to snowfall.
  13. mitchnick
    1.1-1.2" in Hanover
  14. mitchnick
    Looks like the first batter is coming up to the plate at the end of the Icon run. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=prateptype_cat_icon-imp&rh=2025011112&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500h_anom&rh=2025011112&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  15. mitchnick
    1.1-1.2"
  16. mitchnick
    Ensembles have the best look for a 5-7 day period I can remember. Hopefully they don't lose it. 6z EuroAI has the 2nd wave with the snow again. Biggest concern for me remains cold overwhelming but that's more based on seasonal pattern/persistence.
  17. mitchnick
    I haven't looked closely at how they do it, but Geps snowfall map is the best of the 3 ensembles. At this range, that's all I need to know. Lol
  18. mitchnick
    6z Gfs is continuous cold and dry, aside from flurries. Edit: Gefs snowfall actually pretty decent.
  19. mitchnick
    Let's see if the 0z Euro can get it right.
  20. mitchnick
    Who's upset? Calling it the way I see it and in light of the concern of too much cold. But I'm not saying it won't snow. I am saying I don't buy Gfs fantasy storms though.
  21. mitchnick
    Rumors I buy at this point. Storms, we're gunna have to wait on for a bit.
  22. mitchnick
    Snow started in the past couple minutes fast and steady. Like a sheet drifted down from the sky.
  23. mitchnick
    Too much of a good thing...cold. The question is whether the new pattern is conducive once we get a thaw. Who knows? Hopefully the Euro will reflect some stability unlike the Gfs and Gefs. Maybe their ensembles look better, but it's not encouraging to see the operationals lose a new pattern so fast.
  24. mitchnick
    What happened to the overrunning pattern? It keeps changing after 2 or 3 looks to something else, always further away in time. Just not believing the fantasy storms.
  25. mitchnick
    Nothing like what we saw the last few runs. Gfs has a fantasy storm post 270hrs, but that'll be gone by 12z if not 6z.
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