mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Nam's 6hr forecast from 18z...right smack on the dot for slp location and strength. Encouraging on the issue of its forecast accuracy for the event.
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Bust
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Ukie https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ukmet&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2024021212&fh=54&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Latest Rap totals https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024021215&fh=36&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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Idk, seems like they're living in the past. Especially when you consider what Lwx is thinking. In any event, I think this is a 2-4" or 3-6" event imby from what I've seen so far.
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Definitely seeing on the Gfs and Gefs the influx of ocean moisture as it departs.
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Gefs
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Canadians nasso hot again. Ggem
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Icon still likes this weekend. Hope it comes south some, but that never happens.
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Gotta be tough to work for the Nws.
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Nws Lwx just put out a ws watch for 5" of snow in northern Baltimore County, all of Frederick and Carroll counties.
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It has that tongue of higher snowfall a bit north of other guidance that's showing the same feature. I'm on the south end at 3". Won't be surprised with a future adjustment if other guidance holds onto it.
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They should refer all forecast accumulations to weatherbell.com and provide a link
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Fast movement on 3k limits totals down here vs 6z, but still 4-5"
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3k should be decent again too.
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Still great imby
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Ninja'd!
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Moving a little faster than 6z, so that will limit amounts I believe.
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Nam will be better down here for sure.
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Man, 984mb slp at 12z tomorrow on tte Hrrr and the precip shield is compact.
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Just gunna post it's colder at 850 vs 6z
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6z Eps
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Latest Srefs. I would think the Nams hold in light of these.
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Bwi gets more than me. Gotta just laugh. At least we're not NE where the Euro was showing 10-15" only yesterday.
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6z Euro goes too far. Lol Models suck
