mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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My NWS forecast now is 3-5".
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Some models are by 7am and others hours later. Too early to say for sure.
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Didn't I say I thought it was a little more, even with those crummy maps? Being a weenie can be rewarding at times!
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Canadians stopped moving nw with their 6z runs and actually look a touch east from 0z.
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January Medium/Long Range: A snowy January ahead?
mitchnick replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
AI gets some precip into the area on the 24th, but we miss most of the qpf. After that, it has 2 or 3 coastals missing us to the south and east. But those are beyond even the AI's reliability. -
Maker's Mark and Colt 45
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10-25mm quite the range
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That's the 12hr total. But looking at the 6hr maps, I doubt if it's less and gut days a touch more?
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You decide
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Euro operational may be the "superior" model, but that doesn't mean it always gives the superior forecast for any particularlocationat any particulartime. .
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Sux
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I got you in the wrong spot then! Lol
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There are even Ukie ensembles that go out 198hrs every 6 hours!
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That is 6z Kuchera
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Ukie 5-6" for us
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6z Euro filling in the gaps at least.
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I didn't get onto the internet until the following winter. I wish I was, but the modeling wasn't what it is now.
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Everybody in every forum, except for us, have been poo-pooing the Canadians. Now, the Gfs has joined the club. Euro will too, but not necessarily with this 6z run as it's usually quite obstinate.
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Bliz, we gotta' get to work on the next one.
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I hate to say it, but I'm feeling cocky. Lol
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6z GEM shifted east some. Qpf as snow: https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
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0z EuroAI qpf
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6z GEM moved a bit south. Here's precip that falls as snow in mm. Multiply the mm number by .4 to get qpf in inches and don't forget to move the decimal point! https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
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A bit of good news for the non-NW folks. 6z GGEM has shifted south some. Here's the link to qpf that falls as snow. Remember to multiply mm times .4 to get qpf in inches. Don't forget to move the decimal point!!! https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=06&mod=cmc_gdps&hi=000&hf=120&type=SN&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&capa_verif=off
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I don't see it posted, so here's 0z EuroAI qpf.
