mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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I've been watching since I left. Monday was nothing. Yesterday had a storm roll through, but the main area of heavy stuff hit north of me. This morning's storms were intense but looked to be fast movers and small in area. I'm not spiking the ball, believe me, as you know my feelings about grass mowing.
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Left the house on Monday morning with an empty rain gauge. Just got back to 4.5" in it!!! Wtf? Couple of storms this morning that must have been the main culprit, though they didn't look too bad on radar. Crazy.
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It's pretty dry over much of the Conus thru the entire winter unfortunately.
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As crazy cold as the Cansips was, it's hard to have any confidence in it. That said, the updated forecast is reasonably close to what other modeling is now showing. Agree on the RONI, with a greater chance of going lower than higher imho.
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Yeah. We haven't seen a 7-day drop like this so far this year.
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And I just thought it was a crazy drunk outside the hotel. Who da' thunk.
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Lol. These places are crazy.
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Lucky me. Can't wait. https://radar.weather.gov/station/kakq/standard
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OT. I dropped off my wife at Busch Gardens to meet up with my daughter, et al. If I had to park: Regular Parking - $32; Preferred Parking - $47; VIP Parking - $58. I know I'm old and remember $7 parking (with no special parking options), but those prices are beyond outrageous.
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They have to replace Povich with his 1 and 5 record. 22.22% win ratio is 11% better than 20% don't forget.
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Partly cloudy and 84 in Williamsburg VA.
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Trust me, I feel cheated.
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I was watching the Yankee/Redsox game on ESPN on Sunday, and the retired pitcher who was announcing made a good point. With the change keeping starting pitchers to a low pitch count, the bullpens are getting tired with all the work they're having to do. I think we're seeing that with the Yankees, Phillies, Orioles, and Boston. Probably all the teams, but they're the only teams I've had a chance to see. They'll need to expand rosters from the start of the season to add pitchers if things are going to change.
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Never saw or heard of Rax in my life until the posts above. Thanks for expanding my horizon....well, sort of.
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Just a little reality coming to the Phillies as it came to the Yankees and Orioles. Yankees have come out of it, but for how long is the question. Orioles look like they may have some more time. Fwiw, I was a lifelong Yankees fan/Orioles hater despite my living in a Baltimore suburb for more than 60 years. Lost total interest in all sports around 20 years ago and hadn't watched more than an inning of baseball until this year when I sorta started watching baseball again....have to find something to do when you retire! If the Yankees have, in fact, shaken off their slump, they'll be hard to beat. But due to the age of their club, I doubt they'll make it through the playoffs.
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I said it halts it for a bit. EDIT: I should have added that although I haven't looked, I'd be surprised if Enso 4 was as warm as it is now, and that would have an effect on sensible weam
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Don't look now, but just about all modeling gets MJO forcing into 8/1 for at least a few days. Probably halts Enso cooling for a bit. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml
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12z Gfs has 500mb thicknesses of 540 or less in SE Canada at the end of the run! Lol
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The 1 is TAO/TRITON and the other is NOAA/CPC. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml
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Euro has some offshore tropical action on last night's run ala 1995.
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Here on Hanover, that 12/20 storm dropped almost 6" before changing to sleet. It changed back to snow before ending and we ended up with around 8". The month of 2/21 dropped a little over 20". Yeah, I'd take that winter again.
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I was all for a super Niña this year originally advertised by the Cansips with the hope of breaking the warmth in the western Pacific, but it's not to be and the writing is on the wall for a big fail on any modeling that suggested a moderate or strong Niña. That said, I have noticed that there have been a good deal of easterly wind anomalies over the past week or 2 and currently progged along and WEST of the Dateline. I wonder if that might cause a dent in the warmth out there. Don't know, but if the progs are right, I'm interested in seeing what happens. It wouldn't do anything for any areas except for "maybe" Enso 4.
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Funny you mention this, I check this site almost every day. Has some pretty cool info. Just put in your zip code for your back yard. https://www.timeanddate.com/sun/@4558482
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Here's the Tax link I used. It has an exhaustive list of stuff including insulation. https://www.energystar.gov/about/federal-tax-credits/insulation For the fireplace, you can supposedly find on the internet, though I never looked, a blow up balloon type of thing for your flue that will block all the air loss. It's made to collapse when it reaches a certain temperature in case you forget it's there and light a fire. We never use our fireplace, so I just took some of that 1/4" foam foundation air seal sold on a roll I had laying around and tucked it under the damper when shut. We don't have any recessed lighting in this house. The only thing I can't change for a reasonable cost is the chimney for the oil furnace. I know that's a source for heat loss, but I ain't spending $15k for a new furnace since there's nothing wrong with the unit I have that was installed in 2018 by the prior owner.
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At least we know why the Snowman19/Roundy love affair ended. (Just bustin' on ya' Snowman)
