With the Euro losing it's edge thanks to unsuccessful "upgrades", we're probably best using the NWS blend of models. No guarantees, of course.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nbm&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2024093006&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1