mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Funny thing is, this winters forecast is similar to this year's hurricane forecast with everything looking slam dunk. Something to keep in mind for anyone doing this winters forecast.
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Honestly, this year's hurricane forecasts were forefront in my mind when I made that post, but I believe it's true for other forecasts as well. There are just too many smaller scale features that can really screw things up.
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Tried to tell you a month ago there was a lot of evidence pointing against a slam-dunk Niña. Yet, it can still change. Early call accurate forecasts on any weather phenomina rely solely on luck imho.
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Idk, when you look at previous seasons that started this high, they all went on to finish AN.
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sux Signed Obnoxious Yankees fan
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Monthly on the 5th. Here's a link to all free monthly products. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Long (Months)"]%2C"Type"%3A[]}
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Probably just depends on Tropical activity. No tropics = drier month.
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That's not the only thing worse...the Yankees bullpen.
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The fact is, all large cities have problems if for no other reason more people=more problems.
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This popped up when I was browsing YouTube. Fyp lol
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Sweet
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Found this Eps weeklies September precip forecast in the MA forum. Suggests to me that most tropical activity stays offshore.
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Sam's club pretzels are only a buck, and they cook them fresh all day too. I can't remember Wawa'a price, but they're usually more convenient than Sam's, except here. We have a Sam's club in Hanover but no Wawa. When I go back to my old digs near BWI, the 7-11 on Aviation Blvd. (road that borders the east side of BWI) has started selling pretzels similar to Wawa's, so I usually make a point to pickup one there.
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They have the best soft pretzels of all the convenience stores. Sam's Club has the best of all, hands down, imho.
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Lower again this week. Now, upper 40's! Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North wind 5 to 9 mph. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
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Huge fail by all modeling thru this evening with rainfall forecasts imby as recently as 12 hours ago, except for the 3K Nam which has been stingy since last night.
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Technically the "Main Street Family Diner" per Google.
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On the north sidd of Main Street through Waynesboro, about a mile or less west of the Lowe's. It's in the old Golden Coral location.
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Not a drop of consequence in Hanover today. I put down weed and feed and Savin for those stupid grubs that love my yard, whether in MD or PA. I at least need a 1/4" to get that in because I'll be damned if I'm going to water. P.s. @Bubbler86 Went to the Waynesboro Family Diner today. Not bad at all.
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That's what fell here overnight. Looks like things are starting to percolate to our west/sw now.
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Funnest time of that winter on the east coast was when it ended.
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Nws knocks it down a notch or two with today's updated forecast. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 53. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 75. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
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Next week starts off sweet in the hamlet of Hanover. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 55. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 76. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 55.
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Perfect example of why there are no slam dunks in weather, especially seasonal outlooks.
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Do you know of anyone (as in model suites) doing Roni predictions like Oni?
