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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Thank God I don't care about football as the Ravens are doing their absolute best to lose bad.
  2. mitchnick
    The only opposite correlation (as far as anybody in this thread has shown) to a + or - NAO winter to fall months is with October per Chuck's research. However, even that opposite correlation is weak as discussed earlier in this thread.
  3. mitchnick
    Good time now to test MJO forecasting because just about every model has it going into the W. Hemisphere and Africa over the coming weeks. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ncpe.shtml
  4. mitchnick
    Hate to say it. 2.2" in the gauge this morning. Sorry Bubbler. You got screwed again.
  5. mitchnick
    Storm developing out front of the main band to my NW is really starting to pop and appears headed right for me. Thunder too.
  6. mitchnick
    Radar is red hot tonight. Just had a heavy shower that came and went so I decided to look at radar. Looks like derecho on radar.
  7. mitchnick
    Fukushima was caused by a design flaw by not having backup generators high enough in elevation. Nobody died from radiation. By the time they plant went to hell, citizens had fled the area, assuming they hadn't drowned. It was the flooding that was the problem.
  8. mitchnick
    1st date I had with my first real girlfriend was the movie China Syndrome, then it was literally a few days later the "event" at 3 mile island. I was living south of Baltimore at the time, so it never worried me. Now, probably 30-35 miles away as the crow flies, I feel I'm far enough that it doesn't bother me. That, along with the fact that it's several years away and I figure there will be hundreds of Starlight meals that could kill me before it fires up for real.
  9. mitchnick
    Anybody here concerned over reopening 3 mile island? I don't care, but was curious.
  10. mitchnick
    Same here.
  11. mitchnick
    Never read a newspaper article in my life, paper or virtual...seriously.
  12. mitchnick
    Assuming this year follows suit, several questions remain that can't be measured by those stats: 1) whether it will be a constant solid +NAO or will it be up and down that averages +NAO allowing for transient -NAO periods/opportunities; and 2) how positive if positive.
  13. mitchnick
    Just another example of an X poster feeling compelled to try to be the first to hype something.
  14. mitchnick
    I read it and all I got out of it are that there are ways for me to get rid of belly fat, despite the war there are girls in the Ukraine that want to talk with me, and that I have several signs of ahlzeimers, the exact number I can't remember.
  15. mitchnick
    You guys did pretty good last year. Definitely more than mby.
  16. mitchnick
    He discusses it here:
  17. mitchnick
    He's explained the basis in the past. I know it's not a lock as nothing ever is. I'll let him post on his research when he sees this.
  18. mitchnick
    18z 3k Nam https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nam3km&region=neus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2024091718&fh=60
  19. mitchnick
    +NAO for October on the Cfs2, if true, bodes well for winter chances of a -NAO per Chuck's historical odds.
  20. mitchnick
    12z Eps likes southern and southeastern portions of the state.
  21. mitchnick
    Smile Bubbler! It's the Euro.
  22. mitchnick
    I don't dispute that, well not much (lol), but Maue's graph shows that previous peaks usually had a double peak. We've had that, so between that and just about all the measurements on the top graph at that link, I think the top is in. Whether we linger there is the only question in my mind. Either way, we won't reach the level of 01/02 all things considered imho. If I'm wrong...so what?
  23. mitchnick
    They will...NC, VA, and I95 east will get crushed.
  24. mitchnick
    6z Euro qpf fwiw
  25. mitchnick
    Comparing this year to 01/02, this years sunspot numbers are lower than 01/02 (per the graph in the Maue tweet.) Likewise, as I posted yesterday, we may be at the peak based on the link below. https://solen.info/solar/index.html
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