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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Looks like a cloud clearing front is close by now. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=PBZ-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  2. mitchnick
    Great. Keep the warmth coming.
  3. mitchnick
    I think we all know the history/accuracy of seasonal modeling. Nobody is saying they will be right or wrong, and understand that past performance is no guarantee of future performance. All I said was it looked like the Cfs2 tempwise. I didn't even bother to post maps. All very odd to me.
  4. mitchnick
    Lol. Does it ever end with you?
  5. mitchnick
    Cansips pretty much held serve from last month's forecast, and looks a lot like the Cfs2 too tempwise.
  6. mitchnick
    Cfs2 says grab the catchup and mustard.
  7. mitchnick
    Updated Cansips is out later today or this evening. Let's see if it gives any support to the Cfs2, which continues to keep MW & East north of Virginia with average temps and precip for Dec-Feb.
  8. mitchnick
    I agree of it's prominence thanks to the -PDO, but the degree of the ridge breaks down in a couple of days and much can change during the winter months some 3-6 months later imho.
  9. mitchnick
    Don't think we should take too much away for winter from progged weather on 10/3.
  10. mitchnick
    Mushrooms are getting real big around here, like 6" round.
  11. mitchnick
    With the Euro losing it's edge thanks to unsuccessful "upgrades", we're probably best using the NWS blend of models. No guarantees, of course. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nbm&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2024093006&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  12. mitchnick
    I think you're looking at last year's map.
  13. mitchnick
    Just .1
  14. mitchnick
    As a guitar player of 51 years, 80's hair bands had some (but not all) great shred guitarists and 90's grunge had no great guitarists, at least that I ever heard.
  15. mitchnick
    I saw that. Lousy minds can think alike too!
  16. mitchnick
    It sorta looks like the Midwest front is coming in a little earlier than previously progged, so things don't have a chance to develop and get pushed off the east coast.
  17. mitchnick
    Good news is that the globals have lost the strong GOM system. Hopefully, that trend continues.
  18. mitchnick
    You got married in March, if I'm not mistaken. You should be in bed with your bride at 3 or 4 in the morning instead of posting here! Lol
  19. mitchnick
    I think he was focusing on the strength of it.
  20. mitchnick
  21. mitchnick
    Mushrooms getting plentiful and huge.
  22. mitchnick
    Helene developed in the Gulf of Mexico per attached and with rapid development occuring in the last 24 hours west of Florida. Color me skeptical on the Atlantic warming as much, if any, of a major factor, especially in light of the MJO. But that's just mho.
  23. mitchnick
    Don't discount the MJO as a factor.
  24. mitchnick
    My sister came soooo close to moving to Florida, but didn't. I like visiting beaches but would/have never considered living at one.
  25. mitchnick
    Months of a weak Niña Enso is for certain. Whether we get the requisite 5 trimonthlies to qualify as an official weak Niña remains a question in my mind. Mainly because waters seem to go to neutral pretty fast after December from what I've seen. But maybe I'm not looking at the right stuff, idk.
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