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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Don't think we should take too much away for winter from progged weather on 10/3.
  2. Mushrooms are getting real big around here, like 6" round.
  3. With the Euro losing it's edge thanks to unsuccessful "upgrades", we're probably best using the NWS blend of models. No guarantees, of course. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nbm&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp&rh=2024093006&fh=6&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  4. As a guitar player of 51 years, 80's hair bands had some (but not all) great shred guitarists and 90's grunge had no great guitarists, at least that I ever heard.
  5. It sorta looks like the Midwest front is coming in a little earlier than previously progged, so things don't have a chance to develop and get pushed off the east coast.
  6. Good news is that the globals have lost the strong GOM system. Hopefully, that trend continues.
  7. You got married in March, if I'm not mistaken. You should be in bed with your bride at 3 or 4 in the morning instead of posting here! Lol
  8. Helene developed in the Gulf of Mexico per attached and with rapid development occuring in the last 24 hours west of Florida. Color me skeptical on the Atlantic warming as much, if any, of a major factor, especially in light of the MJO. But that's just mho.
  9. My sister came soooo close to moving to Florida, but didn't. I like visiting beaches but would/have never considered living at one.
  10. Months of a weak Niña Enso is for certain. Whether we get the requisite 5 trimonthlies to qualify as an official weak Niña remains a question in my mind. Mainly because waters seem to go to neutral pretty fast after December from what I've seen. But maybe I'm not looking at the right stuff, idk.
  11. That's bad. I really hate severe weather i.e. t-storms, lightning, hurricanes. Did your friend have flood insurance? With no history of flooding, it may not have been required or offered.
  12. Could be, but we'll just have to see if 1) it develops as progged and, 2) the actual response. As we've this year, trying to predict ocean water temps around the world has been tough, seemingly tougher than usual. P.s. I would hope that October updates starting next week can reach a consensus on the Niña with some degree of accuracy.
  13. I assumed that 20 minute wait at McDonald's was a life altering experience.
  14. That map jibes with the link below that shows some cooling around Japan and a migration east, while also weakening, of the warmest N Pacific anomalies. https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html
  15. I noticed that and figured it was just an off run. We'll see.
  16. Canadian has had a tropocal system in the GOM too.
  17. 5 minutes in Hanover. People here can't afford it.
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