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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. I like it cool too, but live with warmer temps so I can maintain a lower bill...$112 this month. Winter I keep days at 67/68 and nights at 64/65.
  2. Wow...I'm surprised to hear that. My house has slowly crept down, with no heat or a/c, from 72 on Saturday morning on the 1sr floor to 70 on the first and 71 on the 2nd now.
  3. Anybody turn on their heat yet? I haven't, but just wondering.
  4. Nice discussion. Fwiw, the daily Cfs2 has been slowly morphed toward a Cansips look. The Cfs2 site, which I believe can be trusted more than Cfs2 maps from other vendors but does not provide 500mb maps, has slowly brought colder air into the northern tier and southeast resulting in normal temps for the Dec-Feb period from DCA on north. Here's the link to the site for anyone interested: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/CFSv2_body.html Direct link to today's trimonthlies temps I was referring to: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/usT2me3Sea.html Today's individual monthly temps: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html
  5. Glad you're feeling better. I come from a family of dentists. My only fear of dentists stems from childhood when my father knew I couldn't talk back with a drill in my mouth so he took the opportunity to remind me of my "shortcomings." I can't begin to tell you how much that hurt.
  6. A touch over .5" for yesterday. Looks like a fresh round incoming.
  7. Not much different than 55. At least I can say I remember the day JFK was shot, so I got that going for me, which is nishhhhh!
  8. First tweet was prefaced with "potentially" and the second with "hopefully". Doesn't sound like any confidence to me. More X hype posts to say "I saw it first" IF it happens while keeping the ability to say "it was just a chance" if it fails. There are going to be sunspots at this part of the cycle, so I don't get these people aside from the need to post.
  9. Thank God I don't care about football as the Ravens are doing their absolute best to lose bad.
  10. The only opposite correlation (as far as anybody in this thread has shown) to a + or - NAO winter to fall months is with October per Chuck's research. However, even that opposite correlation is weak as discussed earlier in this thread.
  11. Good time now to test MJO forecasting because just about every model has it going into the W. Hemisphere and Africa over the coming weeks. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/ncpe.shtml
  12. Hate to say it. 2.2" in the gauge this morning. Sorry Bubbler. You got screwed again.
  13. Storm developing out front of the main band to my NW is really starting to pop and appears headed right for me. Thunder too.
  14. Radar is red hot tonight. Just had a heavy shower that came and went so I decided to look at radar. Looks like derecho on radar.
  15. Fukushima was caused by a design flaw by not having backup generators high enough in elevation. Nobody died from radiation. By the time they plant went to hell, citizens had fled the area, assuming they hadn't drowned. It was the flooding that was the problem.
  16. 1st date I had with my first real girlfriend was the movie China Syndrome, then it was literally a few days later the "event" at 3 mile island. I was living south of Baltimore at the time, so it never worried me. Now, probably 30-35 miles away as the crow flies, I feel I'm far enough that it doesn't bother me. That, along with the fact that it's several years away and I figure there will be hundreds of Starlight meals that could kill me before it fires up for real.
  17. Anybody here concerned over reopening 3 mile island? I don't care, but was curious.
  18. Never read a newspaper article in my life, paper or virtual...seriously.
  19. Assuming this year follows suit, several questions remain that can't be measured by those stats: 1) whether it will be a constant solid +NAO or will it be up and down that averages +NAO allowing for transient -NAO periods/opportunities; and 2) how positive if positive.
  20. Just another example of an X poster feeling compelled to try to be the first to hype something.
  21. I read it and all I got out of it are that there are ways for me to get rid of belly fat, despite the war there are girls in the Ukraine that want to talk with me, and that I have several signs of ahlzeimers, the exact number I can't remember.
  22. You guys did pretty good last year. Definitely more than mby.
  23. He's explained the basis in the past. I know it's not a lock as nothing ever is. I'll let him post on his research when he sees this.
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