mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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I honestly have never watched a local forecast since I bought my house in 2019. Before that in MD, it was 09/10 winter.
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Neither have we. We just rely on ABC27 mets.
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Well, if you decide to cancel, hopefully they cancel the flight.
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Well, I didn't consider the flight, just the hotel, since I've never flown before. I really don't like to travel.
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I'd cancel. 1 rainy day at the beach is OK, but unless you've got places you just have to go, e.g. a Starlight Diner, it's no fun. Lol
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.5" for yesterday & overnight total.
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Yes as to part 2 of your post. I'm being surrounded.
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They're about 20-25 minutes to my north and I got maybe a tenth of an inch.
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With that red Lexus he bought her, I sure hope so.
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The thermometer is not far west from the end of a runway. Being to the west of a concrete and asphalt area of approximately 1 square mile with a SE'ler flow is going to result in some artificially warmer temps, not to mention the heat from multiple lines of revving jets waiting to take off. That's not to say it wasn't a hot summer, but BWI is a microclimate.
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Eps from yesterday keep the bulk of the precip along and east of I83 fwiw.
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DT is saying whatever the Euro is saying. Lol
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You may be forgetting last summer how I kept just missing everything. I probably had about an inch in July and maybe a little more than that in August. That said, all I'm getting are a few sprinkles. It is oh so close to my south.
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Trying to decide whether I get scraped or not.
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Looks pretty consistent to me when you go back further in history. We're in a warming period. Nbd.
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I have a house in Southern Shores the 2nd week in September. I never buy the insurance because you need to be kicked out for at least 2 days before it's worth it. I'm looking at the MJO progs and they're suggesting we should be seeing an increase in tropical activity but this surge should "hopefully " be over by the 1st week of September. We'll see.
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Niñas are notoriously dry in the Mid Atlantic, so that's no surprise to me. But the Cansips has yellow of varying degrees all over the Conus, which is surprising to me. Usually, the Ohio Valley is AN during Niñas. That said, I think the 5H anomaly maps have the most value at this point, so for me the Cansips is more for discussion sake than a verbatim temp/precip forecast, though equatorial Pacific precip maps can have some value.
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I've been watching since I left. Monday was nothing. Yesterday had a storm roll through, but the main area of heavy stuff hit north of me. This morning's storms were intense but looked to be fast movers and small in area. I'm not spiking the ball, believe me, as you know my feelings about grass mowing.
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Left the house on Monday morning with an empty rain gauge. Just got back to 4.5" in it!!! Wtf? Couple of storms this morning that must have been the main culprit, though they didn't look too bad on radar. Crazy.
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It's pretty dry over much of the Conus thru the entire winter unfortunately.
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As crazy cold as the Cansips was, it's hard to have any confidence in it. That said, the updated forecast is reasonably close to what other modeling is now showing. Agree on the RONI, with a greater chance of going lower than higher imho.
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Yeah. We haven't seen a 7-day drop like this so far this year.
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And I just thought it was a crazy drunk outside the hotel. Who da' thunk.
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Lol. These places are crazy.
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Lucky me. Can't wait. https://radar.weather.gov/station/kakq/standard
