mitchnick
-
Posts
26,299 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by mitchnick
-
Comparing this run to August's, it's a little cooler here in south central PA in Dec & Jan and a little warmer in Feb. In typical Nina fashion, unfortunately, it's a dry'ish run for much of the east. Verbatim, January looks like our best shot for wintry weather, which is typical here in Niñas. Really looks like a congrats NNE and Midwest sorta year.
-
Don't know if anyone saw it, but JB says warm and not snowy in the east this winter citing the MJO in phases 4-6. But really, there are more reasons than just the MJO on paper. But, the hurricane season was supposed to be a blockbuster and we see how that's gone so far.
-
It's like instantly adding 1 or 2 posts per day to his limit, assuming he's still limited. For the record, I don't see why he couldn't be allowed to post in here without limit. I don't know what's gone on in the other forums, but everyone in here seems to get along reasonably well considering the different viewpoints. But then again, I got suspended last winter for 6 days because of a political post, so maybe I'm not the one to ask! LOL
-
Oh, I'd love to be in your location. Only thing that will save me is my interior location and 600' asl. That said, 07/08 still stunk here.
-
Sadly, 07/08 isn't much better than 22/23 imby and would go down as an F instead of F-.
-
I usually root for your forecasts, but I hope that one backfires on you. Lol
-
OT. For the old f@rts in the forum like me who fondly remember the 76/77 & 77/78 winters, this is a great video. The guy who did it has others, but I haven't checked them out. A lot of wx stuff you'll probably know but a decent presentation about the big events of those 2 winters.
-
Eps Control runs for storms have always been too cold and snowy imby. I think they are run for "business purposes" for their vendors to create excitement in the weenie wx world. I know that sounds awfully cynical, but let's face it, a decent amount of money is spent by weenies for modeling and it can't be good for business to not throw a bone or 2 for the weenies.
-
Funny thing is, this winters forecast is similar to this year's hurricane forecast with everything looking slam dunk. Something to keep in mind for anyone doing this winters forecast.
-
Honestly, this year's hurricane forecasts were forefront in my mind when I made that post, but I believe it's true for other forecasts as well. There are just too many smaller scale features that can really screw things up.
-
Tried to tell you a month ago there was a lot of evidence pointing against a slam-dunk Niña. Yet, it can still change. Early call accurate forecasts on any weather phenomina rely solely on luck imho.
-
Idk, when you look at previous seasons that started this high, they all went on to finish AN.
-
sux Signed Obnoxious Yankees fan
-
Monthly on the 5th. Here's a link to all free monthly products. https://charts.ecmwf.int/?facets={"Product type"%3A[]%2C"Parameters"%3A[]%2C"Range"%3A["Long (Months)"]%2C"Type"%3A[]}
-
Probably just depends on Tropical activity. No tropics = drier month.
-
That's not the only thing worse...the Yankees bullpen.
-
The fact is, all large cities have problems if for no other reason more people=more problems.
-
This popped up when I was browsing YouTube. Fyp lol
-
Sweet
-
Found this Eps weeklies September precip forecast in the MA forum. Suggests to me that most tropical activity stays offshore.
-
Sam's club pretzels are only a buck, and they cook them fresh all day too. I can't remember Wawa'a price, but they're usually more convenient than Sam's, except here. We have a Sam's club in Hanover but no Wawa. When I go back to my old digs near BWI, the 7-11 on Aviation Blvd. (road that borders the east side of BWI) has started selling pretzels similar to Wawa's, so I usually make a point to pickup one there.
-
They have the best soft pretzels of all the convenience stores. Sam's Club has the best of all, hands down, imho.
-
Lower again this week. Now, upper 40's! Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 71. Northwest wind 10 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 49. North wind 5 to 9 mph. Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
-
Huge fail by all modeling thru this evening with rainfall forecasts imby as recently as 12 hours ago, except for the 3K Nam which has been stingy since last night.
-
Technically the "Main Street Family Diner" per Google.
