Heisy
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Everything posted by Heisy
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Woof? Tpv sitting near us going to be hard to cut that… .
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20th def has me intrigued. Block is formed, solid confluence, 50/50…. .
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Yep, I had a feeling it was going to head this way after the 6z euro Ai run. Yesterday I was starting to feel potential high end SECS event now it’s looking like another 2-4”er .
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Correct, but what I’m saying is the weaker less amped lead wave benefits people farther S. .
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Euro going the way I mentioned earlier, weaker lead wave, putting its eggs in the follow up it seems. This could benefit people farther S
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Yeah pretty much except the lead wave will have colder air to work with so it would favor southern sections. Icon and cmc have sort of been in this camp for a few runs. Once we get it to under 96 hours we’ll probably have a good idea how the h5 progression will go .
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The euro Ai does exactly what my main fear is, at least up in Philly… the wave behind it becomes the dominant force and 11-12th wave is mostly overrunning. The wave for middle/end of week favors inland at this time. This scenario could work for southern sections because the lead wave ends up being mostly overrunning .
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Yea if we can hold until tomorrow night then I’ll feel much more confident. Feeling like a typical 4-8”er with pops to 8-10”. I do like how EPS has the max stripe right through the city. GFS is right where you want it at this range .
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That’s how the normal Euro looks on that site too, euro Ai comes out on weatherbell later .
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Yea I was wrong, woops… .
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It’s gonna be close, the HP still hanging around at least .
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This run might do some crazy stuff beyond the first event because the cold source is close enough and the trough is directed at us to throw out more energy…Wow .
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GFS will be farther N this run I believe .
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That setup at 276 looks fun too heh… cmc still hasn’t bought in yet. It has a flatter conus look, mainly because the northern branch draped across the country. .
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Northern stream might be a touch suppressive this run .
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Trend on the EPS to shift the EPO ridge N which is pumping up the SE ridge beyond the 10-12th period, at least temporarily. So while the Feb 10-12 event is on the table, there might be a brief delay after that before true Barney could arrive .
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Stolen from discord .
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Regardless it is the GFS so it doesn’t really matter anyway, just fun to look at one way or the other. .
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Woof Energy coming E, solid gradient…this run actually has a N stream influence. I bet we see a ton of frozen overrunning here. Every model run is like Christmas because there is so many different ways to win. .
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Sorry wrong thread
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I didn’t even realize it was snowing lol .
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That strong of a snow mean this far out gives me 09-10 vibes. Those events were picked up well into the LR for that time .
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Yeah I left out “s sections” haha but regardless it trended better for frozen for that time period .
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Sunday, and then the anafront few days later .
