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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    12z euro has a few N/S shortwaves that produce or come close to producing. .
  2. Heisy
    Yea as one person our Philly board said, there’s a -NAO there, but nothing is locking the 50/50 in place. There’s been some OP runs here and there showing ways to score in this pattern. I wouldn’t expect a big dog or anything though. .
  3. Heisy
    6th event kind of fell off the ledge last night. I dont think the pattern looks bad from 6-12th or so. However, to me it seems like a very Northern Stream dominant pattern, so keep an eye on one of those clipper type waves with enough space to redevelop or at least be strong enough itself to give us some flakes during that time period. Would need a little support from the PNA and too to help amplify any of those waves that flow across the NS. .
  4. Heisy
    Here is today’s 12z gfs from 45 and 102 hours. Looks very similar, pattern repeating itself. It is decent just gotta take advantage of one of these waves. Cold source nearby. Also, this might produce… .
  5. Heisy
    I thought about it, the last one I came up for was the 22 blizzard I was near Brockton. .
  6. Heisy
    If I had the time and energy these days I’d def start planning a chase up to your neck of the woods. .
  7. Heisy
    The one posted is the Ai ensemble mean .
  8. Heisy
    Icon might hop on board here .
  9. Heisy
    Yea it matches fairly well with 6z gfs. Long way to go, but a nice step. .
  10. Heisy
    This could get interesting, enough energy rounding the base, more than the GFS, possibly we’ll see…. .
  11. Heisy
    I’m actually seeing a bit of a signal for around the 30th, especially for interior. Way out in time, but a bunch of EPS members had it. 18z OP GFS has a front clearing around the 28th with HP building behind and energy organizing down S. Likely too early in the Ridge beat down progression for the coastal plain, but I’d keep an eye out on this time period for interior/W NY region .
  12. Heisy
    Made that post yesterday basically saying I wish this setup happened about a month later .
  13. Heisy
    Give me these looks in about a month please .
  14. Heisy
    My estivation is over. Although I woke up and still lived in this bleep hole called Philadelphia. .
  15. Heisy
    Pretty strong ULL solution on 12z euro for day 7-9 .
  16. Heisy

    Winter 2025-26

    Heisy replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic

    Back out of hibernation. Saw this on our Philly discord .
  17. Heisy
    Yea honestly for 14-15 days out the progression was sort of similar to the euro. I’m all in let’s go .
  18. Heisy
    One last ride? Could be a good setup for interior if it’s true… .
  19. Heisy
    Here is the gfs vs euro The euro has trended towards a stronger wave like GFS, but it hasn’t moved with the N/S .
  20. Heisy
    But the ridge, N/S and confluence out ahead isn’t changing so it’s still a no go .
  21. Heisy
    These are steps towards gfs .
  22. Heisy
    Significant changes on the euro with the wave out west so far .
  23. Heisy
    Every year the gfs has events like this where it stands alone. It’s always wrong except for Boxing Day but that was 48 hours out Give it another run or 2 and it’ll be purged of whatever bad data the 12z run digested .
  24. Heisy
    18z gfs not backing off .
  25. Heisy
    I found support! The JMA baby! Looks just like the GFS ha .
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