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rjvanals

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Everything posted by rjvanals

  1. rjvanals
    NAMs lose the signal for tonight
  2. rjvanals
    Quite a bit more support on the 18z EPS for a bit of snow but its still a longshot
  3. rjvanals
    NAM brings us snow tonight
  4. rjvanals
    Looking at the EPS there's quite a spread in temps starting Sunday and if you squint perhaps a remote chance of light snow over the weekend?
  5. rjvanals
    Prettty disappointing turn of events although rug pulls are what we specialize in around here
  6. rjvanals
    Euro gives DC a dusting overnight
  7. rjvanals
    How's the upcoming "dream pattern" looking?
  8. rjvanals
    Having chased a lot in Oswego County while at Syracuse I strongly recommend you stay off I-81 through Oswego County and take Rt. 11 instead. I-81 can get blocked by stuck trucks in heavy snow conditions and the exits are FAR apart so you won’t be able to turn around. Rt. 11 will be passable with any decent SUV regardless of how hard it’s snowing
  9. rjvanals
    Let’s see how active this place is in a week after no threats materialize or are on the horizon in this upcoming “dream pattern”
  10. rjvanals
    Wonder if we can get on the board for January w the front Thursday/Friday next week
  11. rjvanals
    Hoping to see the sleet line race north to the Tappan Zee bridge tonight
  12. rjvanals
    Sleet is kinda fun and sticks around. Freezing Rain sucks
  13. rjvanals
    GFS w snow next Monday
  14. rjvanals
    One thing I’ve noticed anecdotally is winters where Syracuse has a lot of early snow compared to Buffalo turn out to be decent in the DMV due to a predominantly NW flow that hits Syracuse while building up a snowpack in Canada vs winters that dump on Buffalo have a SW flow and have a ice free Lake Erie. So far this winter Syracuse has 39” while Buffalo has 17” which if my theory is correct is a good sign for the rest of our winter. https://goldensnowball.com
  15. rjvanals
    Mesos did a great job delaying the cold air at the surface which was one of the limiting factors (and poor snow growth at least imby). 1 more hour of snow below freezing everyone would’ve been happy
  16. rjvanals
    1.3” here. Lost about 90 minutes of qpf due to warm surface temps and then had poor snow growth the rest of the storm
  17. rjvanals
    Not surprised w the graupel type snow I’m seeing
  18. rjvanals
    There’s gotta be some thin warm layer above the surface as I’m getting styrofoam or graupel type snowflakes no dendrites
  19. rjvanals
    Forecasts are going to bust once again around the beltway since everyone ignored what all the models were showing was a problem w surface temps
  20. rjvanals
    So frustrating to be wasting qpf in a short duration “storm” since we can’t get below freezing
  21. rjvanals
    Got light snow here but of course we can't get below freezing still 34
  22. rjvanals
    Light rain 37
  23. rjvanals
    NAMs are a step back and suggest surface temps could be a issue inside the beltway
  24. rjvanals
    Closest light snow currently looks to be at Liberty Mtn just across the PA border
  25. rjvanals
    Both the Euro and GFS do suggest we might have the potential for light snow Monday afternoon especially north of I 70
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