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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. frostfern
    They do, but that warmth has to come from the south due to a southern stream low phasing and strengthening, not from a Pacific garbage airmass coming in from the west.
  2. frostfern
    The trough has to retrograde a little to open up the gulf, which didn’t happen with this outbreak. That doesn’t mean it’s impossible for a big dog to occur during a below average period.
  3. frostfern
    Unless you’re up in northern Minnesota, snow missing south has more to due weak disturbances with lack of phasing than temps being too cold. Big dogs don’t have trouble cutting up into arctic airmasses, provided they have the necessary depth. Pacific intrusions never help because they tend to split the jet.
  4. frostfern
    Nice mood flake day with a layered 10” on the ground to appreciate.
  5. frostfern
    I picked up about 3” of fluff with the arctic front last night. Lake effect is of the dusty slow-accumulating type now, but it’s picked up enough with wind going more WNW instead of NNW that another inch is possible overnight.
  6. frostfern
    Hard pass on the amount of CAD for me. I just can’t deal with -20 or -30. If that’s the price of not having any winter thaws, it’s a bit steep. I love 20s and snowcover, but the below zero crap is too much. I don’t care if it’s a “dry cold” or whatever. Still too f***ing cold for me. If you can find the place where the ground is white the full 3 months of meteorological winter, I need to find the place where the grass stays green all summer without excessive watering.
  7. frostfern
    Still a big long-term deficit near me. I have a shallow pond nearby that used to have a lot of turtles. It became a meadow last summer. I don’t know if it will come ever back. Once the tall grass takes over its hard for wetlands to refill.
  8. frostfern
    I imagine Edmonton can get chanooks which he would absolutely hate. I bet it also it has a similar snowfall pattern to other places to the lee of the Rockies, namely big dog storms happen mostly in the spring and fall with the heart of the winter being rather boring. I’m only really familiar with Calgary though. Edmonton likely has more snow and less chanooks. The amount of CAD would be miserable to me though.
  9. frostfern
    August ridge rider pattern.
  10. frostfern
    He needs to move to the UP. Chicago is so much better in terms of summer storms, but it isn’t really a place where snowpack sticks around easily.
  11. frostfern
    As a snowpack appreciator I understand his rant. Melting is annoying unless it’s late March.
  12. frostfern
    Is it still possible Friday night lake fluff burst could over perform? GRR backed off the talk of 3-5” :(. Inversion lowers fast and DGZ is low. Last chance to beautify the pack before the big melt.
  13. frostfern
    I feel we were spoiled in the 00s and 10s.
  14. frostfern
    Avoiding Pacific flood of boring impossible post 2020. Hopefully doesn’t last an entire month this time.
  15. frostfern
    I think it did snow around 4” total here. It just shrank back down to 2.5 or 3 from raining on top. The plow piles are significant and it was heavy to move. Not much depth added, but weight was added. I woke up late and glimpsed at the radar it looked like an MCS rolling through with a 40+ dbz bright band at ground level, lol. Those big wet slush flakes definitely added water content even at 33 degrees. It didn’t stack much but it didn’t melt much either.
  16. frostfern
    The ratio of whatever fell IMBY is like 4:1. It’s 2.5” but it weighs the same as a dry 8”. Some plain old rain mixed in too.
  17. frostfern
    2.5” total. After 1:00 AM added water content without adding any more depth. Some 40 dbz silver dollar flakage, but it was mixed with rain too.
  18. frostfern
    2.5” so far and dumping here east of GR. The bright band is getting close though. I’m assuming the 40 dbz stuff off to the SW is melting wet flakes. It’s nice I can tell it’s snowing hard from my bed because it amplifies the local light pollution so much. It’s so bright you’d think it’s very early morning, but nope.
  19. frostfern
    Waiting on a batch of 30+ dbz returns to hit here. Hoping it stays all snow. GRR radar kinda sucks. Shows artificial holes due to ground clutter.
  20. frostfern
    First bands all snow so far but the dewpoint is 32.
  21. frostfern
    GRR mentioned the warmth is progged to be shallow and near the ground. The main issue is stickage.
  22. frostfern
    I remember 2013-2014 having some rain, but there was persistent cold between systems. The thaws were mostly brief warm sectors, no major Pacific intrusions. The real polar vortex came later.
  23. frostfern
    It being at night and featuring some heavy rates is favorable. Also having preexisting snow to stick to. It looks to be incredibly wet if it doesn’t go to rain.
  24. frostfern
    It’s disheartening that long lasting pack-building patterns are getting more rare due to AGW. I don’t know if a 2013-2014 can happen again. It was already a fluke and we have warmed since then. Have to move north of 47 to hope for a deep snowpack.
  25. frostfern
    Window for a south shift big enough to bring me back into bigger accumulation is closing. Hedging on some glacier building slush, provided it doesn’t get into the upper 30s and start melting the pack like crazy. Euro still keeps me down reasonable close to freezing, just not ideal for accumulation.
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