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frostfern

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Everything posted by frostfern

  1. frostfern
    Avoiding Pacific flood of boring impossible post 2020. Hopefully doesn’t last an entire month this time.
  2. frostfern
    I think it did snow around 4” total here. It just shrank back down to 2.5 or 3 from raining on top. The plow piles are significant and it was heavy to move. Not much depth added, but weight was added. I woke up late and glimpsed at the radar it looked like an MCS rolling through with a 40+ dbz bright band at ground level, lol. Those big wet slush flakes definitely added water content even at 33 degrees. It didn’t stack much but it didn’t melt much either.
  3. frostfern
    The ratio of whatever fell IMBY is like 4:1. It’s 2.5” but it weighs the same as a dry 8”. Some plain old rain mixed in too.
  4. frostfern
    2.5” total. After 1:00 AM added water content without adding any more depth. Some 40 dbz silver dollar flakage, but it was mixed with rain too.
  5. frostfern
    2.5” so far and dumping here east of GR. The bright band is getting close though. I’m assuming the 40 dbz stuff off to the SW is melting wet flakes. It’s nice I can tell it’s snowing hard from my bed because it amplifies the local light pollution so much. It’s so bright you’d think it’s very early morning, but nope.
  6. frostfern
    Waiting on a batch of 30+ dbz returns to hit here. Hoping it stays all snow. GRR radar kinda sucks. Shows artificial holes due to ground clutter.
  7. frostfern
    First bands all snow so far but the dewpoint is 32.
  8. frostfern
    GRR mentioned the warmth is progged to be shallow and near the ground. The main issue is stickage.
  9. frostfern
    I remember 2013-2014 having some rain, but there was persistent cold between systems. The thaws were mostly brief warm sectors, no major Pacific intrusions. The real polar vortex came later.
  10. frostfern
    It being at night and featuring some heavy rates is favorable. Also having preexisting snow to stick to. It looks to be incredibly wet if it doesn’t go to rain.
  11. frostfern
    It’s disheartening that long lasting pack-building patterns are getting more rare due to AGW. I don’t know if a 2013-2014 can happen again. It was already a fluke and we have warmed since then. Have to move north of 47 to hope for a deep snowpack.
  12. frostfern
    Window for a south shift big enough to bring me back into bigger accumulation is closing. Hedging on some glacier building slush, provided it doesn’t get into the upper 30s and start melting the pack like crazy. Euro still keeps me down reasonable close to freezing, just not ideal for accumulation.
  13. frostfern
    Without last minute shift SW it looks like mostly a rainer for me.
  14. frostfern
    P-type nail biter.
  15. frostfern
    I’m the one who could benefit most from a south shift.
  16. frostfern
    Nov-Dec 2000 was huge IMBY. System snow and lake effect. Dec 2008 was also very memorable, though the pack melted fast during the holidays with a lot of rain. 2008-2009 was a wet one with both rain and snow.
  17. frostfern
    I missed most of this one, but it was very cold so the entire 2” or so stuck to the pavement making it very slippery. Previous systems were wetter on the pavement and mostly slush rather than ice.
  18. frostfern
    I didn’t get out of bed in time to measure the official 9” total IMBY with that last storm. It was already down to 7” by the following afternoon. It’s around 5.5” now but high water content with a layer of freezing drizzle and dense sloppy on top.
  19. frostfern
    Summer is invading winter. What happened to lake effect?
  20. frostfern
    Mainly just not getting any lake enhancement + sloppy drizzly sub 1-inch WAA sludge. It’s early, but below normal temp days with sunshine and not a flurry to be found is not normal climo for here. If it’s in the 20s there should be some fluff in the air at times. I was just hopeful this was going to be a year where the snowpack can build.
  21. frostfern
    What happened to lake effect? Warm lake temps going to waste. Bunch of weak garbage clippers.
  22. frostfern
    Making up for the slow onset by avoiding the dry slot. Good night!
  23. frostfern
    Long duration WAA can’t fail too bad. It’s not one of those quick hitting systems that depend entirely on heavy rates.
  24. frostfern
    That would be unusual. I’m just used to dry layers below the DGZ screwing with flake size during WAA snow events with an east wind, especially the early part of the storm. The good thing is this is a long duration event.
  25. frostfern
    I don’t know what kind of ratios this is. I prefer to look at 10:1 and bump it up a little in my head. It’s hard to get 15:1 or better this time of year without lake enhancement. WAA snow tends to be somewhat denser, at least in my area with E wind off the land.
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